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The latest Bet Better model pick for Logan Allen is Over 0.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On the Pitcher - Walks market the model assigns a model win probability of 98%, versus the book's implied 90%, for a model edge of +8.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 9:07PM UTC
MLB

Logan Allen

CLE

+8.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks Over 0.5 -909 (1.11) · $100→$111
+8.3% Edge
Cleveland Guardians @ Tampa Bay Rays
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Florida · Indoor
Thu 4 Sep, 11:35PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
98.4%
Implied Probability
90.1%
Model Edge
+8.3%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Walks98.4%90.1%1.02+8.3%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Logan Allen (CLE) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-909)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Logan Allen to allow over 0.5 walks is a good choice based on his recent performance data. Looking at his last five games overall, Allen has averaged 2.8 walks per game. Even when focusing on his away games, his average still stands at 1.8, which is well above the proposed line of 0.5. This suggests that regardless of the location, Allen has a tendency to allow at least one walk per game. Furthermore, despite not allowing any walks in his last five games against the Rays, his current overall and away hit streaks are 7 and 3 respectively, indicating a recent increase in his vulnerability. Therefore, the statistical trends suggest that it's highly probable Allen will allow at least one walk in the upcoming game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
80%hit L10
Streak2L2080%
O 2.580%
O 3.550%
O 4.540%
O 5.520%
O 6.510%
O 7.510%
O 8.510%

Logan Allen MLB strikeouts: cleared over 2.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted
90%hit L10
L2095%
O 2.590%
O 3.580%
O 4.560%
O 5.540%
O 6.530%
O 7.520%
O 8.510%

Logan Allen MLB hits allowed: cleared over 2.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
90%hit L10
Streak7L2095%
O 0.590%
O 1.570%
O 2.540%
O 3.540%
O 4.510%

Logan Allen MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
2avg earned runs · L5
L2050%

Logan Allen MLB earned runs: cleared over 2.5 in 50% of the last 10 games; averaging 2 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
15.8avg outs · L5

Logan Allen MLB outs: averaging 15.8 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Logan Allen (CLE) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Logan Allen is Over 0.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.3% on this pick. Their next game is Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays on Thursday 4 September at Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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