Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Picks, November 12, 2026

The odds for Jonathan Kuminga to grab under 4.5 rebounds are sitting at +165, which feels like a good chance to take. The Dallas Mavericks give up a fair number of rebounds, but they also allow a lot of three-point attempts. This could mean fewer chances for Kuminga to get those boards, especially if the Mavs focus on shooting from outside rather than crashing the glass. Kuminga's chances are also affected by how the Mavericks play defense. They force turnovers on fewer possessions than most teams, so if the game flows smoothly, it might limit his opportunities. With the matchup being so close, there's a solid risk that he could end up with more rebounds than expected if the game goes a different way.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks: Santi Aldama Over 5.5 Points (-179)

Santi Aldama has been showing some solid scoring lately, and with the Minnesota Timberwolves facing the Dallas Mavericks, this could be a great chance for him to shine. The Mavericks generally allow a lot of threes and struggle with rebounds, which means there could be plenty of opportunities for Aldama to put up points. The Timberwolves, playing at home, will be looking to capitalize on those weaknesses. However, there is a bit of a concern since both teams are fairly close in how they play, and if the game goes a different way, Aldama might not get enough chances to score. Still, with the numbers showing he's likely to get over 5.5 points, it's a bet worth considering.

That is everything our model likes in this game. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.