Ousmane Dieng (Milwaukee Bucks) Under 1.5 Threes Made (+124)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Bucks prepare to host the Celtics, all eyes will be on Ousmane Dieng and his three-point shooting. While he's shown flashes of brilliance, especially at home with an impressive average of 1.8 threes made over his last five games, recent trends suggest he might fall short of 1.5 tonight. Against the Celtics, who have tightened their perimeter defense, Dieng has averaged just 1.5 threes in their last five matchups. Even more telling, his overall hit rate in the last four games tells a different story: he's found success 100% of the time, but that's also inflated by some favorable matchups. Given the Celtics' commitment to perimeter defense and Dieng's average output of 1.26 threes, betting the under feels like a savvy play. When the stakes are high, and the defense is tight, sometimes less is more.

Jaylen Brown (Boston Celtics) Over 32.5 Points + Rebounds (-110)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Celtics prepare to face the Bucks in Milwaukee, all eyes should be on Jaylen Brown, especially when it comes to his points and rebounds total of 32.5. Over the last week, Brown has been on a tear, averaging an impressive 32.4 points and 6.8 rebounds. What's even more compelling is his recent away form-he's hit the over in all four of his last away games. The matchup against the Bucks may seem daunting, but Brown has historically fared well against them, averaging 25.8 points in five recent encounters. While his away scoring dips slightly, he still manages to contribute significantly, and the total of 35.66 expected stat value suggests he's primed for a big game. With a 100% hit rate in his last seven games, trusting Brown to exceed 32.5 feels like a smart play.

Neemias Queta (Boston Celtics) Under 8.5 Rebounds (+105)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we gear up for the clash between the Celtics and the Bucks, Neemias Queta presents an intriguing betting opportunity. While he's shown flashes of prowess, particularly with an average of 9 rebounds over the last five games, his away performances tell a different story. Averaging just 8.8 boards on the road and only 6.7 against the Celtics specifically, the matchup raises some eyebrows. Milwaukee boasts a formidable frontcourt, making it tough for Queta to find those extra opportunities. With a hit rate of only 4 out of his last 8 games hitting over 8.5, and his overall consistency wavering-especially away from home-betting the under feels like the smart play. The data suggests he'll struggle to hit that mark against a stout Bucks defense, making the Under 8.5 a compelling choice this Saturday night.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get Bet Better Pro