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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Derrick White is Over 16.5 on Pts + Rebs.
On the Pts + Rebs market the model assigns a model win probability of 79%, versus the book's implied 63%, for a model edge of +16.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 22, 1:52PM UTC
NBA

Derrick White

Boston Celtics

+16.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 16.5 -167 (1.60)
+16.9% Edge
Charlotte Hornets @ Boston Celtics
TD Garden, Boston, MA · Indoor
Wed 8 Apr, 12:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
79.4%
Implied Probability
62.5%
Model Edge
+16.9%
Predicted Value
22.2 Pts + Rebs

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs79.4%62.5%1.26+16.9%

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AI Analysis

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Derrick White (Boston Celtics) Over 16.5 Points + Rebounds (-167)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the Boston Celtics host the Charlotte Hornets, keep an eye on Derrick White to soar past the 16.5 points and rebounds mark. At home, White's numbers reveal a different player; he averages 11.6 points and 4.8 rebounds over his last five games in TD Garden, bringing his total closer to 16.4. However, against Charlotte, he tends to elevate his game, averaging 22.8 points at home versus the Hornets.Moreover, recent form shows he's hit this line in 70% of his last ten home games. With the Celtics looking to solidify their playoff positioning, expect White to play a pivotal role in an up-tempo game. He's consistently found success against Charlotte, which should only bolster his confidence. Given the stakes and his track record, the over on White's combined points and rebounds is not just a bet; it's a smart play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 5(80%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
3.4avg · last 10
L53.4Szn3.5Home3.6Away3.3Best9
1+93%
2+88%
3+74%
4+45%
5+27%
Game log vs O 2.5avg 3.4 · hi 7 · lo 0
3732205336

Derrick White is averaging 3.4 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 3.5, best 9). He clears 3+ in 74% of 2024-25 games.

Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
4.2avg · last 10
L53.2Szn4.7Home4.9Away4.4Best14
1+100%
3+80%
5+47%
7+22%
9+7%
Game log vs O 4.5avg 4.2 · hi 7 · lo 2
7255752522

Derrick White is averaging 4.2 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 4.7, best 14). He clears 5+ in 47% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
22.6avg · last 10
L520.0Szn21.3Home22.2Away20.3Best43
11+93%
16+82%
21+60%
26+22%
31+4%
Game log vs O 20.5avg 22.6 · hi 32 · lo 10
26322221251021251925

Derrick White is averaging 22.6 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 21.3, best 43). He clears 21+ in 60% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
23.9avg · last 10
L523.2Szn21.2Home22.0Away20.4Best44
11+94%
16+82%
21+56%
26+25%
31+5%
Game log vs O 20.5avg 23.9 · hi 34 · lo 9
2234231925930292226

Derrick White is averaging 23.9 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 21.2, best 44). He clears 21+ in 56% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
28.1avg · last 10
L526.4Szn25.9Home27.0Away24.8Best46
16+91%
21+81%
26+59%
31+22%
36+4%
Game log vs O 25.5avg 28.1 · hi 36 · lo 14
29362824321432342428

Derrick White is averaging 28.1 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 25.9, best 46). He clears 26+ in 59% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
9.7avg · last 10
L59.6Szn9.3Home9.7Away8.8Best20
3+99%
6+86%
9+58%
12+25%
15+8%
Game log vs O 8.5avg 9.7 · hi 14 · lo 5
106118149131475

Derrick White is averaging 9.7 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 9.3, best 20). He clears 9+ in 58% of 2024-25 games.

Steals2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
0.7avg · last 10
L50.4Szn0.9Home1.0Away0.9Best6
1+58%
2+25%
3+9%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.7 · hi 2 · lo 0
1112010010

Derrick White is averaging 0.7 steals over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 0.9, best 6). He clears 1+ in 58% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Apr 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Boston Celtics Pts + Rebs 16.5 Over -167 ✗ MISS
03 Mar 26 Boston Celtics @ Milwaukee Bucks Rebs + Asts 10.5 Under -135 ✓ HIT
03 Mar 26 Boston Celtics @ Milwaukee Bucks Pts + Rebs + Asts 28.5 Under -130 ✓ HIT
28 Feb 26 Brooklyn Nets @ Boston Celtics Steals Pending
28 Feb 26 Brooklyn Nets @ Boston Celtics Rebs + Asts Pending

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About This Player

Derrick White (Boston Celtics) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Derrick White is Over 16.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.9% on this pick. Their next game is Charlotte Hornets vs Boston Celtics on Wednesday 8 April at TD Garden, Boston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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