Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Picks, November 11, 2026

The odds of +115 for Nikola Jokic to score under 34.5 points and assists look good. Our numbers think this is a strong bet, especially since the Memphis Grizzlies give up quite a few rebounds and threes. They let their opponents grab 44.7 boards a game, which could limit Jokic's opportunities to rack up numbers. However, the Grizzlies do tend to force turnovers a bit more than the average team. If they can disrupt Denver's plays, it might make it tougher for Jokic to reach that total. While he's a great player, this matchup could be closer than it looks, so it's worth keeping an eye on how the game plays out.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets: Nikola Jokic Under 37.5 Pts + Rebs (+105)

The odds for Nikola Jokic to score under 37.5 points and rebounds look promising at +105. Our data suggests he might struggle a bit against the Memphis Grizzlies, who allow a lot of three-point attempts and have a strong rebounding game. They give up nearly 45 rebounds a game, which could mean fewer chances for Jokic to pile up those stats. Plus, the teams are closely matched in style, so it could be a tighter game than expected. Remember, betting can be tricky, and this pick carries the risk that Jokic might still have a standout performance despite the odds.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets: Cameron Boozer Under 24.5 Pts + Rebs (+125)

Cameron Boozer is up against the Denver Nuggets at the FedExForum, and this matchup looks interesting. The Nuggets give up a decent number of rebounds, but the Grizzlies have been tough on opponents with their strong defense. Since 2018, Memphis has been known to force turnovers more than Denver, which could limit Boozer's chances to score and grab boards. While Boozer has talent, the Grizzlies allow fewer rebounds than the Nuggets do, and their overall defensive style could make it hard for him to hit that 24.5 mark for points and rebounds. Still, this bet has a good chance according to our numbers.

That is our read - no bet on this board is a sure thing. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.