On Saturday 26 September 2026, Manchester United play Tottenham Hotspur in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Both Teams To Score: No, priced at +168 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur: Both Teams To Score: No (+168)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Manchester United host Tottenham, the stage is set for a tactical battle rather than a goal-fest. United’s recent home form shows a stark contrast, with an average of 2.6 goals scored at Old Trafford, but also conceding 1.6. However, Spurs are struggling significantly, averaging just 0.4 goals in their last five matches and a dismal 0.8 in away fixtures. Their attack appears stagnant, reflected in their low expected goals and shots on target. Moreover, both teams are grappling with inconsistencies; United’s last five games against Spurs resulted in only two goals from both sides combined. Given these trends, it’s reasonable to lean towards the “No” in the Both Teams to Score market. With Spurs’ lack of firepower and United’s defensive solidity at home, a scoreless draw—or a narrow United win—seems far more plausible.

Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur: Under 3.5 Total Goals (-154)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Manchester United prepare to host Tottenham, the recent form of both teams suggests a low-scoring affair is on the cards. United’s attack has sputtered, netting just 1.6 goals per game over their last five, while their defense is equally stingy, conceding an average of 1.6. Meanwhile, Spurs have struggled immensely, averaging a mere 0.4 goals in their last five outings, with their away form yielding just 0.8 goals per game. Both teams are generating minimal expected goals—United’s chances are lacking creativity and Spurs have simply been unable to score. Given that the last five encounters between these sides have also leaned toward underwhelming totals, betting on under 3.5 goals appears prudent. With both clubs prioritizing solidity over flair right now, a tactical battle rather than a goal-fest seems likely.

That is how our model reads Manchester United v Tottenham Hotspur. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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