Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction & Picks : Full Breakdown & Bets

As the San Antonio Spurs gear up to face the Denver Nuggets, all eyes will be on Victor Wembanyama, but it may be wise to consider betting the under on his three-pointers made at 2.5. Sure, he's been a force this season, yet when looking closer, his recent form tells a different story. Over his last five games, Wembanyama has averaged just 1.4 threes overall, and when he's on the road, that dips to 1.2. Against Denver, he's found success with 2.8 threes in their last five matchups, but at away games, that drops to 2.7. With a remarkable streak of hitting the under in 14 consecutive away games, the numbers suggest a regression is likely. With the Nuggets' defense tightening up, this could be the perfect storm for Wembanyama to come in under the 2.5 mark. Trust the data-it's pointing

Luke Kornet (San Antonio Spurs) Over 9.5 Points + Rebounds (-112)

As the San Antonio Spurs gear up to face the Denver Nuggets, Luke Kornet's prop bet for over 9.5 points and rebounds is a tantalizing opportunity. Although his recent averages of 6.8 points and 5.6 rebounds might not jump off the page, he's shown a knack for stepping up when it matters. Over the last five games, he's hit the mark in four of them, showcasing a resilience that speaks to his potential in this matchup. Against the Nuggets, Kornet has typically struggled, averaging just 5.2 points and 3 rebounds per game. However, the Spurs will need every bit of production to keep pace with Denver's firepower. With an expected stat value of 12.86, he's positioned to outshine his recent form. Expect Kornet to rise to the occasion, making the over on this prop a compelling play.

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 13.5 Rebounds (-116)

As we gear up for the showdown between the Denver Nuggets and the San Antonio Spurs, all eyes are on Nikola Jokic, but a closer look at the numbers suggests we might want to bet on the Under for his rebounds at 13.5. While Jokic has been a rebounding machine, averaging 17 boards over his last five games, his performance against the Spurs tells a different story. At home, he's consistently posted around 12 rebounds in their recent matchups. Moreover, with a hit rate of just 7 out of his last 11 home games, it's clear he's not always reaching those lofty heights. The Spurs' defensive scheme may also play a role, limiting Jokic's opportunities. Given these factors and an expected stat value of 12.35, it feels like the Under is the smart play here, especially when the stakes are high.