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Model picks & player props
MLB
Progressive Field, Cleveland
Outdoor
Wed 28 May 2025, 1:10 PM ET
Los Angeles Dodgers
VS
Cleveland Guardians

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 26 markets for Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cleveland Guardians and backs Under 0.5 hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $1,300.

20
Game markets graded
6
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Cleveland Guardians
under 0.5 runs
Under 0.5 Team Total
You bet$10 If it wins$130.00Best price+1200
Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win15.9%
The price says7.7%

The model graded 26 markets for Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cleveland Guardians (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $1,300 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 28 May 2025, 1:10 PM ET at Progressive Field.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Team Total Cleveland Guardians Under 0.5 Long-shot16% chance +1200
Team Total Members only Long-shot27% chance Members
Batter - Total Bases × 2 props Highup to 73% Members
Batter - Stolen Bases × 4 props Highup to 94% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Los Angeles Dodgers and Cleveland Guardians last met on Wed 28 May 2025. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Team Total
Under
0.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Miguel Rojas 2BDay-to-day
  • Blake Treinen RPOut
  • Will Klein RPOut
  • Eric Lauer SPOut
  • Gavin Stone SPOut
  • Jake Cousins RPOut
  • Ben Casparius RPOut
  • Brusdar Graterol RPOut

Cleveland Guardians

  • Colin Holderman RPOut
  • Rhys Hoskins 1BOut
  • Andrew Walters RPOut

Probable pitcher

Gavin Williams SP
Availability updated Oct 11, 12:00AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cleveland Guardians: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 11 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability11 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Gabriel Arias CLE Batter - Total Bases
Carlos Santana CLE Batter - Total Bases
Tommy Edman LAD Batter - Stolen Bases
Jose Ramirez CLE Batter - Stolen Bases
Mookie Betts LAD Batter - Stolen Bases

+ 6 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineCleveland GuardiansNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF4.6L5 RA3.6Home L53-2vs Los Angeles Dodgers L53-2

Cleveland Guardians moneyline form: last five 2-3, 4.6 runs/gm.

Run LineCleveland Guardians run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF4.6L5 RA3.6Home L53-2vs Los Angeles Dodgers L53-2

Cleveland Guardians spread form: last five 2-3, 4.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Cleveland Guardians vs Los Angeles DodgersNo line posted

Cleveland Guardians total runs form: last five 2-3, 4.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsCleveland Guardians team totalNo line posted
3.2runs we expect
L5 RF4.6L5 RA3.6Home L53-2vs Los Angeles Dodgers L53-2

Cleveland Guardians team total runs form: last five 2-3, 4.6 runs/gm.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Cleveland Guardians — what the model found

Our model graded 26 betting markets for Los Angeles Dodgers at Cleveland Guardians — 20 on the game itself and 6 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
6
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 26 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 25 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cleveland Guardians — recent results

Cleveland Guardians have won 2 of their last 5 games; Los Angeles Dodgers have won 4 of their last 5.

Cleveland Guardians — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W9–5CHWAway
W9–3CHWAway
L3–4CHWHome
L0–3CHWHome
L2–3KCAway
Los Angeles Dodgers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W4–1ATLAway
W3–1ATLAway
L2–3ATLHome
W5–3ATLHome
W5–1SFAway

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cleveland Guardians — recent meetings

These two have met 5 times recently: Cleveland Guardians won 2, Los Angeles Dodgers won 3.

DateCleveland GuardiansLos Angeles DodgersWinner
Apr 241Cleveland Guardians
Apr 114Los Angeles Dodgers
Mar 3142Cleveland Guardians
Mar 345Los Angeles Dodgers
Feb 24311Los Angeles Dodgers

Who’s out or in doubt

11 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Cleveland Guardians
PlayerStatus
Colin Holderman RPOUT
Rhys Hoskins 1BOUT
Andrew Walters RPOUT
Los Angeles Dodgers
PlayerStatus
Miguel Rojas 2BDAY-TO-DAY
Blake Treinen RPOUT
Will Klein RPOUT
Eric Lauer SPOUT
Gavin Stone SPOUT
Jake Cousins RPOUT
Ben Casparius RPOUT
Brusdar Graterol RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Cleveland Guardians — model preview

Latest MLB betting preview: Cleveland Guardians vs Los Angeles Dodgers. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like Carlos Santana. Keywords: MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Cleveland Guardians vs Los Angeles Dodgers stats and odds.

Carlos Santana (CLE) Over 0.5 Total Bases (-185)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Carlos Santana's recent performance data indicates a promising bet for Over 0.5 in the Batter Total Bases market. Despite an overall current hit streak of zero, Santana's statistics show a stronger performance at home games. His average hits at home in the last 5 games is 0.8, four times higher than his overall average of 0.2. This suggests that Santana has a higher likelihood of hitting at home. Furthermore, he has a record of hitting home runs against the Dodgers, with a L5 vs Opp HR Avg (Batting) of 0.2. This indicates that Santana has a history of scoring against this particular opponent. Therefore, based on his home game performance and historical data against the Dodgers, the bet on Carlos Santana for Over 0.5 in the Batter Total Bases market is a solid choice.

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cleveland Guardians in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Dodgers vs Guardians, or as Guardians vs Dodgers. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 28 May 2025 at Progressive Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 6 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cleveland Guardians head-to-head record

Final scores · 20 meetings on record
Los Angeles Dodgers 13–7 across the last 20 meetings · these games average 8.9 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Thu 2 Apr 2026, Cleveland Guardians at Los Angeles Dodgers: the Guardians won 4-1.

DateGameScoreWinner
2 Apr 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Los Angeles Dodgers1–4Cleveland Guardians
1 Apr 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Los Angeles Dodgers4–1Los Angeles Dodgers
31 Mar 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Los Angeles Dodgers2–4Cleveland Guardians
30 Mar 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Los Angeles Dodgers2–4Cleveland Guardians
3 Mar 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Cleveland Guardians4–5Los Angeles Dodgers
24 Feb 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Los Angeles Dodgers11–3Los Angeles Dodgers
28 May 2025Los Angeles Dodgers @ Cleveland Guardians7–4Cleveland Guardians
27 May 2025Los Angeles Dodgers @ Cleveland Guardians5–9Los Angeles Dodgers
26 May 2025Los Angeles Dodgers @ Cleveland Guardians2–7Los Angeles Dodgers
11 Mar 2025Cleveland Guardians @ Los Angeles Dodgers10–4Los Angeles Dodgers

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 20 meetings on file.

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