Brisbane Lions vs Essendon Bombers : Essendon Bombers 35.5 (-111)

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The bet on Essendon Bombers +35.5 is supported by the team's recent performance metrics. Despite a negative average margin over the last five away games, Essendon has shown competitiveness with an average of 70 points scored. Brisbane, while strong at home, has a lower average points for and a margin of only -4 in their last five home games. Essendon's ability to generate inside 50s and shots at goal, combined with Brisbane's vulnerable defense, suggests Essendon can stay within the +35.5 spread. With Brisbane's average margin at 17 in their last five games overall, Essendon has a chance to cover the spread in this matchup at the Gabba.

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