Scottie Barnes (Toronto Raptors) Under 8.5 Assists (-159)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As we gear up for this Sunday's clash between the Celtics and Raptors, Scottie Barnes is an intriguing player to focus on, particularly when it comes to his assists. While he's been thriving overall, averaging 11 assists in his last five games, the numbers tell a different story when he's away from Toronto. On the road, that average dips to 9.2, and against the Celtics specifically, he's logged just 3.8 assists per game in their last five encounters. Boston's defense, known for its intensity, will make it tougher for Barnes to find his rhythm. With a hit rate of only 13 out of his last 16 away games hitting the under, betting on him to stay below 8.5 assists feels like a wise play. Given his expected stat value of 6.15, it seems like the perfect storm for this prop bet.

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors : Boston Celtics win (-400)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The Celtics are a solid choice for this bet, and here's why. Boston has been performing exceptionally on their home court recently, leveraging their home-ground advantage to dominate their opponents. Their defensive stats have been particularly impressive, making it tough for opposing teams to score. On the other hand, Toronto has been struggling to keep pace with their opponents on the road, posting a less-than-impressive record. Comparing these two teams head-to-head, the Celtics have a significant edge in terms of form. The model prediction further substantiates this, placing a 90% likelihood of a Celtics win. This, coupled with the implied probability of 80%, just strengthens the confidence in the Celtics' ability to secure a victory. So, while every bet has its risk, the Celtics on the Moneyline appears to be a solid play.

Jaylen Brown (Boston Celtics) Over 33.5 Points + Rebounds (-110)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Celtics gear up to face the Raptors at home, all signs point to Jaylen Brown being a key player to watch. Over his last eight games, he's crushed the points and rebounds mark, hitting the over in seven of those contests. At the TD Garden, he's been especially effective, averaging nearly 30 points and 6.4 rebounds in his last five home games. Facing off against Toronto, Brown has historically thrived, boasting an average of 24.8 points and 7.6 rebounds per game at home against them. With an expected stat value of 36.67, it's clear he's poised for another standout performance. The Raptors will have their hands full, and Brown's ability to dominate both scoring and rebounding makes the over on 33.5 feel like a savvy play here. With a hit rate of 100% in his last four home games, taking the over is too enticing to pass up.

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