On Sunday 6 September 2026, Bologna play Sassuolo in Serie A. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Bologna vs Sassuolo: Sassuolo +3.5 Goal Handicap, priced at -10000 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Bologna vs Sassuolo: Sassuolo +3.5 Goal Handicap (-10000)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
As Bologna prepares to host Sassuolo, the trends suggest that the away side has the upper hand. Despite their recent struggles, Sassuolo’s historical record against Bologna—winning 3 of their last 5 encounters—gives them a psychological edge. Bologna’s home form has been shaky, with just two wins from their last five, averaging a mere 1 goal per game. In contrast, Sassuolo, although they’ve had a tough time on the road, still manage to create more chances, averaging 15 shots per game recently. Bologna's defensive vulnerabilities, allowing 1.4 goals per game at home, could be their downfall. With Sassuolo's ability to capitalize on set pieces and counter-attacks, they can exploit these weaknesses. Given the expected goals (xG) metrics, Sassuolo’s potential to outscore Bologna seems likely, making the alternate handicap of Sassuolo 3.5 a compelling angle in this matchup.
Bologna vs Sassuolo: Over 4.5 Total Corners (-3333)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
When Bologna hosts Sassuolo, expect a flurry of corners as both teams engage in a high-tempo battle. Bologna’s recent home games have averaged around 12 shots, and with a tendency to push forward, they’ve garnered an average of 1.2 corners at home in their last five. Meanwhile, Sassuolo has struggled on the road but still managed around 1.6 corners per game despite their lack of goal-scoring prowess. Historically, these encounters have been corner-heavy, evidenced by Bologna's 2-3-0 record against Sassuolo in their last five meetings. With both teams showing a willingness to attack and create opportunities, surpassing the 4.5 corners mark seems not just probable but likely. Add in Bologna’s home advantage and Sassuolo’s need to respond, and you have the perfect recipe for a corner count that edges over the line. Grab that bet!
Bologna vs Sassuolo: Over 5.5 Total Corners (-1000)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
As Bologna prepares to host Sassuolo, the anticipation for corner kicks is palpable. Both teams have demonstrated a penchant for attacking play, with Bologna averaging a solid 12 shots per game in their last five outings. While their scoring average has been modest at 1.4 goals, they’re generating enough pressure to rack up corners, averaging nearly two per match at home. Sassuolo, on the other hand, has been less effective recently, struggling to score away with just 0.6 goals in their last five. However, their willingness to push forward, reflected in their 13.4 shots per game, suggests they’ll add to the corner tally. Given Bologna’s recent trend of corners at home and Sassuolo’s need to up their offensive game, betting on over 5.5 corners feels like a savvy move. The match dynamics favor a flurry of corner opportunities as both teams chase crucial points.
That is how our model reads Bologna v Sassuolo. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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