On Tuesday 18 August 2026, Bologna play Lazio in Serie A. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Bologna vs Lazio: Lazio +3.5 Goal Handicap, priced at -10000 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Bologna vs Lazio: Lazio +3.5 Goal Handicap (-10000)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
As Bologna hosts Lazio, the evidence suggests a significant advantage for the visitors. Recent performances show Lazio is steadily building momentum, with a solid away record that includes three wins in their last five outings. On the flip side, Bologna has struggled to convert home advantage into results, managing just one win in their last five home matches. Both teams are averaging a modest 1.4 goals per game, but Bologna's defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed, allowing an average of 1.4 goals at home. Meanwhile, Lazio has displayed sharp offensive instincts on the road, scoring 1.2 goals away while limiting opponents to just 0.8. Given Lazio’s recent form and Bologna's inconsistency, backing Lazio with a -3.5 handicap seems prudent. They’re poised to capitalize on Bologna’s weaknesses and secure a comfortable victory, making this bet one to consider seriously.
Bologna vs Lazio: Bologna +2.5 Goal Handicap (-5000)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
As Bologna prepares to face Lazio, the stats paint a compelling picture for a home victory by more than 2.5 goals. Bologna's recent form at home shows a solid average of 1.4 goals scored, with a defense that tends to concede the same. However, their attacking prowess has been bolstered lately, with a steady stream of shots—averaging over 12 per match—indicating they're creating chances and should find the net. Lazio, while competitive, has struggled to maintain consistency on the road, and their defensive lapses have exposed them to higher scoring games. With Bologna's home advantage and their ability to push the tempo, it’s reasonable to expect them to exploit Lazio’s defensive frailties. Given Bologna's recent record against Lazio, a win by at least three goals feels not just plausible, but likely. This matchup could see Bologna capitalize on their home turf, making that handicap line very tempting.
Bologna vs Lazio: Lazio +2.5 Goal Handicap (-2000)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
As Lazio heads to Bologna, recent form and head-to-head data strongly favor the visitors. Lazio has been solid on the road, boasting a 3-0-2 record in their last five away matches, consistently finding the net while restricting opponents to just 0.8 goals per game. In contrast, Bologna's home form has been shaky, with only two wins in their last five at home and an average of just 1 goal scored. While both teams have struggled with expected goals lately, Bologna's inability to convert chances is glaring—averaging only 1 goal at home against a resilient Lazio defense. Given Lazio's capability to keep opponents at bay combined with Bologna's recent struggles, a handicap bet on Lazio at -2.5 appears to be a savvy pick. They’re poised to capitalize on Bologna’s vulnerabilities and potentially pad their scoreline, making this a compelling matchup to watch.
That is how our model reads Bologna v Lazio. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
Unlock the rest of this one
You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.
Unlock the full article