AS Roma vs Inter Milan Prediction & Picks (Serie A) (Daniele Ghilardi Key Factor): Full Breakdown & Bets

On Thursday 17 September 2026, AS Roma play Inter Milan in Serie A. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Daniele Ghilardi (AS Roma) Over 0.5 Shots, priced at +140 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Daniele Ghilardi (AS Roma) Over 0.5 Shots (+140)

As AS Roma welcomes Inter Milan, keep an eye on Daniele Ghilardi for a potential spark in the shots market. His current form might not scream confidence—averaging just 0.4 shots per game overall and none at home lately—but there’s more to this story. With Inter’s defense often focused on bigger threats, Ghilardi might find himself with space to exploit. The energy of the Stadio Olimpico could energize him, pushing him to take a shot if he gets a sniff of goal. Remember, while he hasn’t hit the target at home recently, the volatility of Serie A means surprises are always around the corner. Given the competitive nature of this matchup, a shot at goal from Ghilardi feels not just possible but likely. With an implied probability hovering around 41.7%, this could be the game that sees him break through.

That is how our model reads AS Roma v Inter Milan. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.