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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Gianluca Mancini is Over 2.5 on Shots.
On Shots, our numbers say this bet wins about 10 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 10%, implied 6%, edge +4.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current Soccer schedule.
Model updated Sep 17, 6:44AM UTC
Soccer

Gianluca Mancini

AS Roma

+4.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Shots Over 2.5 +1600 (17.00) · $100→$1,700
+4.0% Edge
Inter Milan @ AS Roma
Stadio Olimpico, Rome, Lazio · Outdoor
Sat 19 Sep, 4:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls soccer draw no bet calls: 74 of 156 right
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Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
10 in 100
Predicted
1.0 Shots
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 9.9% · the book's price implies 5.9% · gap +4.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots9.9%5.9%10.12+4.0%

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AI Analysis

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Gianluca Mancini (AS Roma) Over 2.5 Shots (+1600)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

When AS Roma takes on Inter Milan, all eyes will be on Gianluca Mancini, a player primed for an unexpected offensive showing. While his recent shot averages might seem modest, there’s more than meets the eye. Playing at home, Mancini's shot average bumps up to 1, and he’s been known to step up in high-stakes matches like this one. Inter’s defense could leave gaps, especially with the attacking flair Roma is likely to showcase, allowing Mancini to push forward and test the keeper more than usual. Plus, while he hasn’t hit the Over recently, this matchup presents a ripe opportunity for him to break that streak. If Roma can maintain possession and keep the pressure, Mancini could easily find himself taking those extra shots needed to clear the 2.5 mark. With the potential for fireworks in this clash, betting on Mancini to unleash at least three shots feels like a savvy move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Gianluca Mancini's lines for Sat 19 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Shots 2.5

Gianluca Mancini's shots line is 2.5.

Gianluca Mancini — 2024 season

Gianluca Mancini scored 1 goal with 0 assists in 4 Serie A appearances for Roma in the 2024 season, from 6 shots (3 on target) and an expected-goals total of 0.9.

1
Goals
0
Assists
0.9
xG
6
Shots
3
On target
1
Key passes
4
Apps
348
Minutes
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Gianluca Mancini (AS Roma) is tracked by the Bet Better model for Soccer player prop betting. The latest model pick for Gianluca Mancini is Over 2.5 on Shots. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.0% on this pick. Their next game is Inter Milan vs AS Roma on Saturday 19 September at Stadio Olimpico, Rome. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your Soccer betting strategy.

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