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Model picks & player props
Fiorentina
VS
AS Roma

Fiorentina vs AS Roma Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 31, 8:04AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Outdoor
Mon 24 Aug 2026, 6:45PM
20
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 8.5 Total Corners -164

The model graded 21 markets for Fiorentina vs AS Roma (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $161 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Mon 24 Aug 2026, 6:45PM at Stadio Olimpico.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win62.8%
The price says57.2%
Best price-164
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Corners Over 8.5 High63% chance -164
Total Corners High81% chance —
Total Corners Lean49% chance —
Total Corners High75% chance —
Total Corners Long-shot36% chance —
Total Corners Long-shot18% chance —
Total Corners High89% chance —
Spread High96% chance —
Spread High87% chance —
Shots × 1 prop Leanup to 42% —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
No · $100 returned $189

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 43 of 91 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeAug 30
AS Monaco
Marseille @ AS Monaco
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $187
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Corners
Over
7.5
-294
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
FiorentinaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
FiorentinaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
FiorentinaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
FiorentinaMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NoBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Cards TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Fiorentina

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

AS Roma

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Fiorentina vs AS Roma: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Marin Pongracic Borussia Dortmund Shots

+ 1 player prop graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total GoalsFiorentina @ AS RomaNo line posted
99%model over %
Away ov2.565%

AS Roma vs Fiorentina total-goals angle; the model prices Under at 99% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Fiorentina @ AS Roma — what the model found

Our model graded 21 betting markets for Fiorentina at AS Roma — 20 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 21 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 20 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
24 Aug 26 Total Goals Under 6.5 ✓ HIT
24 Aug 26 Both Teams to Score No ✓ HIT
24 Aug 26 Total Cards Total Under 4.5 ✓ HIT
24 Aug 26 Total Corners Over 4.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Fiorentina vs AS Roma in the Soccer. The most recent game between them was Monday 24 August 2026 at Stadio Olimpico. The model has generated 20 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
AS Roma 1–0 across the last meeting
DateGameScoreWinner
24 Aug 2026Fiorentina @ AS Roma4–0AS Roma
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