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AFL

Willem Duursma

West Coast Eagles

+0.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 17.5 -238 (1.42)
+0.3% Edge
West Coast Eagles @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Optus Stadium, Perth
Sat 13 Jun, 6:15AM
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Model Probability
70.7%
Implied Probability
70.4%
Model Edge
+0.3%
Predicted Value
20.2 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Willem Duursma (West Coast Eagles) Over 17.5 Disposals (-238)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to a player prop bet on disposals, Willem Duursma is a prime target for the Over 17.5 line against North Melbourne. In his last five away games, Duursma has been a reliable ball magnet, averaging 20.4 disposals with a solid disposal efficiency of 68.5%. His ability to find the footy is evident through his 14.2 kicks and 6.2 handballs per game, showcasing his dual-threat style. Additionally, he's been impactful in generating forward momentum, averaging 457.4 meters gained. Facing North Melbourne, a team he has historically averaged 15 disposals against, Duursma is poised to exploit their defense. With a current hit rate of 4/5 on away games and riding a two-game hit streak overall, Duursma's consistent performance makes the Over a compelling bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (1 picks) 0.0% (0/1)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Jun 26 West Coast Eagles @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 17.5 Over -238 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Willem Duursma (West Coast Eagles) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 1 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 0.0% (0/1). The latest model pick for Willem Duursma is Over 17.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.3% on this pick. Their next game is West Coast Eagles vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Saturday 13 June at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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