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The latest Bet Better model pick for Willem Duursma is Over 10.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 68 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 68%, implied 89%, edge +0.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 1:28AM UTC
AFL

Willem Duursma

West Coast Eagles

+0.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 10.5 -833 (1.12) · $100→$112
+0.4% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks @ West Coast Eagles
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Sun 23 Aug, 9:20AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
90 in 100
Predicted
16.8 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 89.7% · the book's price implies 89.3% · gap +0.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals89.7%67.7%89.3%1.48+0.4%

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AI Analysis

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Willem Duursma (West Coast Eagles) Over 10.5 Disposals (-833)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy punters, let's talk Willem Duursma and his impact on this weekend's clash between the West Coast Eagles and Hawthorn Hawks at Optus Stadium. Duursma, a key playmaker for the Eagles, has been on fire lately, averaging a whopping 18 disposals in his last five home games. His ability to find space and move the ball efficiently (64.7% disposal efficiency) makes him a real threat on the field. With a current hit streak of 10 home games exceeding 10.5 disposals, Duursma is in fine form and poised to deliver once again in front of the home crowd. The data points to Duursma snagging plenty of possessions, so backing him to go over 10.5 disposals seems like a solid bet for this matchup. Trust in Duursma to split the middle and help your ticket cash in come game day.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 7 of last 10(70%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Willem Duursma - AFL Disposals market.

GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Willem Duursma - AFL Goals market.

Quick answers:How many disposals does Willem Duursma average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
23 Aug 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 10.5 Over -833 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 11.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 12.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ West Coast Eagles Disposals — — — Pending
23 Aug 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ West Coast Eagles Disposals — — — Pending
16 Aug 26 West Coast Eagles @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Goals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Willem Duursma (West Coast Eagles) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Willem Duursma is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.4% on this pick. Their next game is Hawthorn Hawks vs West Coast Eagles on Sunday 23 August at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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