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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jack Williams is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 82%, versus the book's implied 64%, for a model edge of +18.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 6, 10:51AM UTC
AFL

Jack Williams

West Coast Eagles

+18.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -175 (1.57)
+18.7% Edge
West Coast Eagles @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Sat 26 Jul, 6:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
82.4%
Implied Probability
63.7%
Model Edge
+18.7%
Predicted Value
1.2 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals82.4%—63.7%1.21+18.7%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games2/10

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AI Analysis

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Jack Williams (West Coast Eagles) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-175)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jack Williams is a strong bet to snag a goal against Fremantle based on his recent form. With an average of 1.2 goals in his last five away games and a consistent 55.0% goal accuracy, Williams has been a reliable goal-kicker. His involvement in the attacking plays is evident from his 3.6 score involvements per game. Facing Fremantle, against whom he averages 1 goal in his last five matchups, further boosts his chances. With an edge of 18.7% according to the model, Williams' form and historical performance make him a solid pick to hit the scoreboard, making the Over 0.5 goals bet enticing for this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
1.2avg goals L5
Home0.2vs Collingwood0.7Season best3
O 0.540%
O 1.520%
Game log vs line (O 1.5)avg 0.8 · hi 3 · lo 0
1001311100

Jack Williams has gone over 1.5 goals in 2 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 1.2 goals, best 3).

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jack Williams (West Coast Eagles) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jack Williams is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.7% on this pick. Their next game is West Coast Eagles vs Fremantle Dockers on Saturday 26 July at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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