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The latest Bet Better model pick for Harley Reid is Over 20.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 76%, versus the book's implied 70%, for a model edge of +6.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 6, 10:48AM UTC
AFL

Harley Reid

West Coast Eagles

+6.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 20.5 -233 (1.43)
+6.4% Edge
West Coast Eagles @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Fri 24 Jul, 10:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Model Probability
76.3%
Implied Probability
69.9%
Model Edge
+6.4%
Predicted Value
24.1 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals76.3%—69.9%1.31+6.4%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Harley Reid (West Coast Eagles) Over 20.5 Disposals (-233)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Harley Reid hitting the Over 20.5 disposals mark in the upcoming clash against Fremantle, the stats paint a compelling picture. Over his last five away games, Reid has been a midfield maestro, racking up an average of 22.4 disposals, including a solid 22 against this very opponent. His recent form is red hot, with an impressive 74.1% disposal efficiency and an average of 10.8 kicks and 11.6 handballs per game. With a consistent trend of 7 consecutive games meeting or exceeding this mark, Reid seems poised to once again dominate the possession count. Expect him to be at the heart of the action, working tirelessly to drive his team forward and snag those crucial possessions to help secure the win for the West Coast Eagles.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 4(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
27.4avg disposals L5
Home25.8vs Collingwood18Season best29
O 25.530%
O 26.530%
O 27.520%
O 28.520%
O 29.520%
O 30.510%
Game log vs line (O 27.5)avg 19.5 · hi 29 · lo 12
20211620192917122615

Harley Reid has gone over 27.5 disposals in 2 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 27.4 disposals, best 29).

GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
0.2avg goals L5
Home0.6vs Collingwood0Season best3
O 0.540%
Game log vs line (O 0.5)avg 0.2 · hi 2 · lo 0
0000000002

Harley Reid has gone over 0.5 goals in 4 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 0.2 goals, best 3).

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
24 Jul 26 West Coast Eagles @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 20.5 Over -233 ✓ HIT
24 Jul 26 West Coast Eagles @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 19.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
24 Jul 26 West Coast Eagles @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 18.5 Over -500 ✓ HIT
24 Jul 26 West Coast Eagles @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Harley Reid (West Coast Eagles) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Harley Reid is Over 20.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.4% on this pick. Their next game is West Coast Eagles vs Fremantle Dockers on Friday 24 July at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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