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The latest Bet Better model pick for Tylar Young is Over 11.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 73%, versus the book's implied 63%, for a model edge of +10.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 11:12PM UTC
AFL

Tylar Young

West Coast Eagles

+10.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 11.5 -167 (1.60) · $100→$160
+10.1% Edge
Fremantle Dockers @ West Coast Eagles
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Sun 19 Apr, 7:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
72.6%
Implied Probability
62.5%
Model Edge
+10.1%
Predicted Value
14.5 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.6%—62.5%1.38+10.1%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games9/10

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AI Analysis

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Tylar Young (West Coast Eagles) Over 11.5 Disposals (-167)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing Tylar Young to go over 11.5 disposals in the upcoming West Coast Eagles versus Fremantle Dockers clash, the numbers paint a compelling picture. Young has been a consistent ball magnet at home, averaging 11.6 disposals per game over his last five home appearances. Facing Fremantle adds to his allure, as he's been even more prolific against them, averaging 14 disposals in their recent matchups. Young's recent form is solid, boasting an impressive overall hit rate of 6 out of 8 in his last games. With his knack for finding the footy, solid disposal efficiency at 82.5%, and an average of 9.6 kicks per game at Optus Stadium, backing Young to surpass 11.5 disposals looks like a smart play with a strong chance of hitting.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
50%hit L10 O 11.5
11.2avg disposals L5
Home16vs Collingwood9Season best19
O 9.590%
O 10.570%
O 11.550%
O 12.550%
O 13.530%
O 14.520%
Game log vs line (O 11.5)avg 9.3 · hi 14 · lo 3
1163911512141111

Tylar Young has gone over 11.5 disposals in 5 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 11.2 disposals, best 19).

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Apr 26 Fremantle Dockers @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 11.5 Over -167 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Fremantle Dockers @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 10.5 Over -256 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Fremantle Dockers @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 9.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Tylar Young (West Coast Eagles) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tylar Young is Over 11.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.1% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs West Coast Eagles on Sunday 19 April at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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