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The latest Bet Better model pick for Tom McCarthy is Over 17.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 89%, versus the book's implied 88%, for a model edge of +1.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:15AM UTC
AFL

Tom McCarthy

West Coast Eagles

+1.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 17.5 -714 (1.14)
+1.3% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ West Coast Eagles
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Sat 18 Jul, 10:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Model Probability
89.0%
Implied Probability
87.7%
Model Edge
+1.3%
Predicted Value
23.6 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals89.0%—87.7%1.12+1.3%

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AI Analysis

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Tom McCarthy (West Coast Eagles) Over 17.5 Disposals (-714)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player for the 'Disposals Over' market, Tom McCarthy of the West Coast Eagles stands out like a beacon in the night sky. Set to shine at Optus Stadium against the Brisbane Lions, McCarthy has been a midfield maestro lately, averaging 22.4 disposals in his last five home games. His form is as solid as a rock, boasting an impressive 87.8% disposal efficiency and an average of 5.6 handballs per game. With a knack for intercepting play (5.4 per game) and gaining valuable meters for his team (413.2 on average), McCarthy is a key cog in the Eagles' midfield machinery. Riding a hot streak with six consecutive hits in the disposal department, including a perfect 3/3 at home, he's poised to eclipse the 17.5 line set by the bookies. Betting on McCarthy to rack up the possessions is akin to a sure bet on West Coast's midfield linchpin to deliver the goods.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 4(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Tom McCarthy - AFL Disposals market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Jul 26 Brisbane Lions @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 17.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
18 Jul 26 Brisbane Lions @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 18.5 Over -500 ✓ HIT
18 Jul 26 Brisbane Lions @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 19.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
18 Jul 26 Brisbane Lions @ West Coast Eagles Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Tom McCarthy (West Coast Eagles) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tom McCarthy is Over 17.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.3% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs West Coast Eagles on Saturday 18 July at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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