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The latest Bet Better model pick for Sam Flanders is Over 16.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 63%, versus the book's implied 52%, for a model edge of +11.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 17, 9:40AM UTC
AFL

Sam Flanders

Gold Coast SUNS

+11.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 16.5 -108 (1.93)
+11.4% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 13 Sep, 9:35AM
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Model Probability
63.2%
Implied Probability
51.8%
Model Edge
+11.4%
Predicted Value
18.2 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals63.2%—51.8%1.58+11.4%

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AI Analysis

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Sam Flanders (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 16.5 Disposals (-108)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Sam Flanders is poised to shine in the upcoming away game against Brisbane Lions. With an impressive L5 average of 20.6 disposals, facing an opponent he averages 20.7 disposals against, Flanders is likely to surpass the 16.5 disposal line. His consistency, highlighted by a solid 79.5% disposalefficiency, and strong recent form with an average of 20.6 disposals, make this bet enticing. Additionally, his propensity for generating turnovers (L5 3 avg) and intercepts (L5 1.6 avg) showcases his involvement in play. Flanders' ability to split the middle consistently, coupled with his recent hit rates, makes the Over 16.5 disposals bet a smart choice for this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
30.3avg disposals recent
Season best43
Disposals last 10avg 30.3 · hi 43 · lo 22
33332730433325222829

Sam Flanders has a disposals high of 43 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Sam Flanders (Gold Coast SUNS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Sam Flanders is Over 16.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.4% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 13 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.