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The latest Bet Better model pick for Sam Flanders is Over 16.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 63 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 63%, implied 52%, edge +11.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 26, 1:02PM UTC
AFL

Sam Flanders

Gold Coast SUNS

+11.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 16.5 -108 (1.93) · $100→$193
+11.4% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 13 Sep, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 12°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
63 in 100
Predicted
18.2 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 63.2% · the book's price implies 51.8% · gap +11.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals63.2%—51.8%1.58+11.4%

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AI Analysis

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Sam Flanders (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 16.5 Disposals (-108)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Sam Flanders is poised to shine in the upcoming away game against Brisbane Lions. With an impressive L5 average of 20.6 disposals, facing an opponent he averages 20.7 disposals against, Flanders is likely to surpass the 16.5 disposal line. His consistency, highlighted by a solid 79.5% disposalefficiency, and strong recent form with an average of 20.6 disposals, make this bet enticing. Additionally, his propensity for generating turnovers (L5 3 avg) and intercepts (L5 1.6 avg) showcases his involvement in play. Flanders' ability to split the middle consistently, coupled with his recent hit rates, makes the Over 16.5 disposals bet a smart choice for this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Sam Flanders averaged 30.9 disposals, 0.5 goals and 5.5 marks per game across 22 games in 2024.

30.9
Disposals
0.5
Goals
5.5
Marks
2.3
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Richmond), Sam Flanders recorded 29 disposals and 2 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Richmond29236
17 Aug 24Melbourne28250
10 Aug 24Essendon22212
2 Aug 24West Coast Eagles25041
27 Jul 24Brisbane Lions33143
20 Jul 24GWS GIANTS43072
14 Jul 24Port Adelaide30131
6 Jul 24North Melbourne27132
29 Jun 24Collingwood33133
23 Jun 24Fremantle33073
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Sam Flanders (Gold Coast SUNS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Sam Flanders is Over 16.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.4% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 13 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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