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AFL

Sam Flanders

Gold Coast SUNS

Value call

Sam Flanders (Gold Coast SUNS) has one live pick today: over 14.5 disposals that pays $151 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
78 in 100
Predicted
18.4 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 78.3% · the book's price implies 66.2% · gap +12.0%.

Latest Model PickFree
Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 13 Sep, 7:35 PM AEST
Sam Flanders
over 14.5 disposals
Disposals Over 14.5 -196 (1.51) · $100→$151
Value call
HIGHWins about 78 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$15.10 Odds-196
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Sam Flanders is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 78 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 78%, the price says 66%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 4:11PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 12°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals78.3%—66.2%1.28+12.0%

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AI Analysis

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Sam Flanders (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 14.5 Disposals (-196)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Sam Flanders, averaging 20.6 disposals in his last five away games, faces Brisbane with an impressive 20.7 disposal average against them. With a model predicting 18.4 disposals and a 12.0% edge, his recent form, including 79.5% disposal efficiency and 146 metres gained per game, supports exceeding 14.5 disposals. Despite a lower overall average, recent trends show consistency, hitting 16 out of 20 away games. Flanders' ability to find the ball, especially against Brisbane, makes the Over 14.5 disposals a promising bet on his potential impact in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Sam Flanders averaged 30.9 disposals, 0.5 goals and 5.5 marks per game across 22 games in 2024.

30.9
Disposals
0.5
Goals
5.5
Marks
2.3
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Richmond), Sam Flanders recorded 29 disposals and 2 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Richmond29236
17 Aug 24Melbourne28250
10 Aug 24Essendon22212
2 Aug 24West Coast Eagles25041
27 Jul 24Brisbane Lions33143
20 Jul 24GWS GIANTS43072
14 Jul 24Port Adelaide30131
6 Jul 24North Melbourne27132
29 Jun 24Collingwood33133
23 Jun 24Fremantle33073
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Sam Flanders (Gold Coast SUNS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Sam Flanders is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.0% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 13 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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