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AFL

Sam Flanders

Gold Coast SUNS

+4.7% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -278 (1.36)
+4.7% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane
Sat 13 Sep, 9:35AM
Model Probability
78.3%
Implied Probability
73.5%
Model Edge
+4.7%
Predicted Value
18.4 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Sam Flanders (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 14.5 Disposals (-278)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Sam Flanders is poised to excel against Brisbane based on his recent form. With a solid average of 20.6 disposals in his last five away games, including 20.7 against Brisbane, he's expected to surpass the 14.5 disposals line. Flanders’ ability to maintain a high disposalefficiency of 79.5% and his average of 7.2 kicks and 13.4 handballs per game further support this bet. His recent metres gained of 146 and a low turnover rate of 3 per game indicate his consistent impact on the field. Flanders’ hit rate of 16/20 in away games and 9/11 overall add to the confidence in this pick, making the Over 14.5 disposals bet a compelling choice for this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 70.0% (35/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 14.5 Over -278 ✗ MISS
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 14.5 Over -278 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 14.5 Over -278 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals Pending
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals Pending
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals Pending

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