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The latest Bet Better model pick for Sam Flanders is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 78 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 78%, the price says 67%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 6, 12:17PM UTC
AFL

Sam Flanders

Gold Coast SUNS

Value call

Sam Flanders (Gold Coast SUNS) has one live pick today: Disposals Over 14.5 that pays $150 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -200 (1.50) · $100→$150
Value call
Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 13 Sep, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 12°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
78 in 100
Predicted
18.4 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 78.3% · the book's price implies 66.7% · gap +11.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals78.3%—66.7%1.28+11.6%

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AI Analysis

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Sam Flanders (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 14.5 Disposals (-200)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Sam Flanders is poised to shine away against Brisbane based on his recent form. With a model-predicted 18.4 disposals and a significant 11.6% edge, Flanders has been consistently hitting an average of 20.6 disposals in his last five away games. Notably, he has surpassed 14.5 disposals in 16 out of his last 20 away matches. Facing Brisbane, he averages 20.7 disposals in their matchups. Flanders' ability to gain meters (146 avg) and maintain a high disposal efficiency (79.5%) further supports this bet. Expect him to continue his trend of solid performances, making the Over 14.5 disposals enticing for this matchup at the Gabba.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Sam Flanders averaged 30.9 disposals, 0.5 goals and 5.5 marks per game across 22 games in 2024.

30.9
Disposals
0.5
Goals
5.5
Marks
2.3
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Richmond), Sam Flanders recorded 29 disposals and 2 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Richmond29236
17 Aug 24Melbourne28250
10 Aug 24Essendon22212
2 Aug 24West Coast Eagles25041
27 Jul 24Brisbane Lions33143
20 Jul 24GWS GIANTS43072
14 Jul 24Port Adelaide30131
6 Jul 24North Melbourne27132
29 Jun 24Collingwood33133
23 Jun 24Fremantle33073
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Sam Flanders (Gold Coast SUNS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Sam Flanders is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.6% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 13 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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