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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ben King is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 82 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 82%, implied 89%, edge +5.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 26, 3:10PM UTC
AFL

Ben King

Gold Coast SUNS

+5.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -833 (1.12) · $100→$112
+5.1% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra, ACT · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 3:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
94 in 100
Predicted
1.8 Goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 94.4% · the book's price implies 89.3% · gap +5.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals94.4%82.4%89.3%1.21+5.1%

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AI Analysis

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Ben King (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 0.5 Goals (-833)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Ben King, the Gold Coast Suns' sharpshooter, is on fire heading into their clash with the Greater Western Sydney Giants. Averaging 1.8 goals in his last five away games, King's lethal accuracy of 55.3% and impressive score involvements of 4.4 per game make him a key threat in the forward line. Against the Giants, he's been consistent, bagging an average of 0.5 goals in their recent encounters. With a streak of 10 consecutive away games hitting the scoreboard and an overall hit rate of 20/20 in the last 20 games, King is in prime form to snag at least one goal at Corroboree Group Oval Manuka. Bet on King to split the middle and back him to deliver over 0.5 goals; he's the man to watch on Sunday.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Ben King averaged 8.0 disposals, 2.5 goals and 4.5 marks per game across 22 games in 2024.

8.0
Disposals
2.5
Goals
4.5
Marks
0.6
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Richmond), Ben King recorded 5 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Richmond5120
17 Aug 24Melbourne7241
10 Aug 24Essendon11370
2 Aug 24West Coast Eagles10351
27 Jul 24Brisbane Lions8171
20 Jul 24GWS GIANTS8042
14 Jul 24Port Adelaide10282
6 Jul 24North Melbourne6140
29 Jun 24Collingwood8440
8 Jun 24St Kilda7260
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Goals 0.5 Over -833 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Ben King (Gold Coast SUNS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ben King is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.1% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Greater Western Sydney Giants on Sunday 9 August at Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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