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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ben King is Over 1.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 86%, versus the book's implied 69%, for a model edge of +16.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 17, 9:33AM UTC
AFL

Ben King

Gold Coast SUNS

+16.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 1.5 -227 (1.44)
+16.3% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 13 Sep, 9:35AM
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Model Probability
85.7%
Implied Probability
69.4%
Model Edge
+16.3%
Predicted Value
2.3 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals85.7%—69.4%1.17+16.3%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games2/10

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AI Analysis

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Ben King (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 1.5 Goals (-227)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Ben King is a solid bet to score over 1.5 goals against Brisbane Lions based on his recent performance. With an average of 2.8 goals in his last five away games and a high goal accuracy of 69.1%, King consistently finds the big sticks. His involvement in scoring plays, averaging 4.8 score involvements per game, indicates he is a key offensive threat. Additionally, his average of 4.2 shots at goal and 2.2 marks inside 50 highlight his ability to create scoring opportunities. Facing Brisbane, against whom he averages 2.3 goals in his last five matchups, King's form suggests he is likely to surpass the 1.5 goal line, making this bet a favorable choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
50%hit L10 O 1.5
1.8avg goals L5
Home2.6vs Western Bulldogs2.2Season best4
O 0.5100%
O 1.550%
O 2.540%
O 3.520%
Game log vs line (O 1.5)avg 1.9 · hi 4 · lo 0
2412013321

Ben King has gone over 1.5 goals in 5 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 1.8 goals, best 4).

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Ben King (Gold Coast SUNS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ben King is Over 1.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.3% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 13 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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