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AFL

Ben Long

Gold Coast SUNS

+9.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -526 (1.19)
+9.4% Edge
Essendon Bombers @ Gold Coast Suns
People First Stadium, Gold Coast
Sat 18 Apr, 3:15AM
Model Probability
93.4%
Implied Probability
84.0%
Model Edge
+9.4%
Predicted Value
1.7 Goals

AI Analysis

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Ben Long (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 0.5 Goals (-526)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to picking a player to back in the 'Player Goals Over/Under' market, Ben Long for the Gold Coast Suns stands out like a beacon at People First Stadium. His recent form, especially at home, has been electric. Averaging 1.6 goals in his last 5 home games, with a stellar 80.0% goal accuracy, Ben knows how to find the big sticks. His strong involvement in scoring plays, evidenced by his 5.2 score involvements per game, showcases his impact in the forward line. Facing Essendon, a team he's bagged an average of 2 goals against in his last 5 encounters, Ben Long is primed to snag another goal and keep his scoring streak alive. Bet on Ben to light up the scoreboard with at least one goal in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (5 picks) 60.0% (3/5)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Apr 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Sydney Swans Goals 0.5 Over -370 ✓ HIT
05 Apr 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Melbourne Demons Goals 0.5 Over -588 ✗ MISS
21 Mar 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Richmond Tigers Goals 0.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Goals Pending
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Goals Pending

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About This Player

Ben Long (Gold Coast SUNS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 5 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 60.0% (3/5). The latest model pick for Ben Long is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.4% on this pick. Their next game is Essendon Bombers vs Gold Coast Suns on Saturday 18 April at People First Stadium, Gold Coast. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.