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AFL

Ben Long

Gold Coast SUNS

+8.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -588 (1.17)
+8.0% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne
Sun 5 Apr, 5:15AM
Model Probability
93.4%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+8.0%
Predicted Value
1.7 Goals

AI Analysis

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Ben Long (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 0.5 Goals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to snag a goal in the AFL, Ben Long from the Gold Coast Suns stands out. In his last 5 away games, Long has been on fire, averaging 1.8 goals per game, well above the set line of 0.5. His goal accuracy of 55.0% reflects his sharpshooting form, making him a real threat in front of the big sticks. Long's ability to get involved in the Suns' attacking plays is evident from his 5.4 score involvements per game, showing he's not just a finisher but a key playmaker for his team. Facing Melbourne, where he averages 0.5 goals in his last 5 games against them, Long is poised to capitalize on his recent form and continue his scoring streak. With Long's current hot hand and track record, betting on him to go over 0.5 goals is a solid play for this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (5 picks) 40.0% (2/5)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Apr 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Melbourne Demons Goals 0.5 Over -588 ✗ MISS
21 Mar 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Richmond Tigers Goals 0.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Goals 0.5 Over -833 ✗ MISS
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Goals Pending
06 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Fremantle Dockers Goals Pending

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About This Player

Ben Long (Gold Coast SUNS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 5 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 40.0% (2/5). The latest model pick for Ben Long is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.0% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Melbourne Demons on Sunday 5 April at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.