What is the latest Ben Long prop pick?

The model's latest pick for Ben Long is Over 0.5 on the Goals market at odds of -333.

When does Ben Long next play?

Ben Long next plays in Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants on Sunday 9 August 2026.

Answer

The latest Bet Better model pick for Ben Long is Over 0.5 on Goals.

On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 90%, versus the book's implied 77%, for a model edge of +13.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.

Model updated Aug 6, 12:49PM UTC

AFL

Ben Long

Gold Coast SUNS

+13.0% Edge

Latest Model Pick

Goals Over 0.5 -333 (1.30)

+13.0% Edge

Gold Coast Suns @

Greater Western Sydney Giants

Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra, ACT · Outdoor

Sun 9 Aug, 3:10AM

Availability not tracked for this sport

Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.

Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 15°C (Jul 2023). Descriptive context only.

Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Model Probability

90.0%

Implied Probability

76.9%

Model Edge

+13.0%

Predicted Value

1.5 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

Market	Model	Model probability	Implied	Fair Odds	Edge
Goals	90.0%	—	76.9%	1.11	+13.0%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

Window	Hit Rate
Last 3 games	0/3
Last 5 games	1/5
Last 10 games	4/10

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Ben Long (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 0.5 Goals (-333)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing Ben Long to snag over 0.5 goals in the upcoming clash against the GWS Giants, the numbers tell a compelling story. Over his last five away games, Long has been a consistent threat in front of goal, averaging 1 goal per game with a goal accuracy of 43.3%. His involvement in the Suns' attacking plays is evident, with 4.6 score involvements on average. Against the Giants specifically, he's been even more prolific, averaging 0.4 goals per game over the last five matchups. With a current hit streak of 4 games and an impressive overall hit rate, Long is in prime form to split the middle at least once in this high-stakes battle. Betting on him to bag a goal is a smart play given his recent performance and historical success against GWS.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)

Betting angles

1 market live

Goalsvs Greater Western Sydney GiantsO 0.5 -263

70%hit L10 O 0.5

1.4avg goals L5

Away1vs GWS GIANTS0.8Season best4

O 0.570%

O 1.550%

O 2.520%

O 3.510%

Game log vs line (O 0.5)8 / 10 hit

1221113003

Ben Long has gone over 0.5 goals in 7 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 1.4 goals, best 4). Current line: Over 0.5 at -263.

Date	Matchup	Market	Line	Pick	Odds (US)	Result
02 Aug 26	Melbourne Demons @ Gold Coast Suns	Goals	0.5	Over	-526	✓ HIT
25 Jul 26	Gold Coast Suns @ Carlton Blues	Goals	0.5	Over	-476	✓ HIT
19 Jul 26	Western Bulldogs @ Gold Coast Suns	Goals	0.5	Over	-385	✓ HIT

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About This Player

Ben Long (Gold Coast SUNS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ben Long is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.0% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Greater Western Sydney Giants on Sunday 9 August at Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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