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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ben Long is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 90 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 90%, implied 77%, edge +13.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 26, 3:08PM UTC
AFL

Ben Long

Gold Coast SUNS

+13.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -333 (1.30) · $100→$130
+13.0% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra, ACT · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 3:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 15°C (Jul 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
90 in 100
Predicted
1.5 Goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 90.0% · the book's price implies 76.9% · gap +13.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals90.0%—76.9%1.11+13.0%

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AI Analysis

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Ben Long (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 0.5 Goals (-333)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing Ben Long to snag over 0.5 goals in the upcoming clash against the GWS Giants, the numbers tell a compelling story. Over his last five away games, Long has been a consistent threat in front of goal, averaging 1 goal per game with a goal accuracy of 43.3%. His involvement in the Suns' attacking plays is evident, with 4.6 score involvements on average. Against the Giants specifically, he's been even more prolific, averaging 0.4 goals per game over the last five matchups. With a current hit streak of 4 games and an impressive overall hit rate, Long is in prime form to split the middle at least once in this high-stakes battle. Betting on him to bag a goal is a smart play given his recent performance and historical success against GWS.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Ben Long averaged 10.2 disposals, 1.5 goals and 3.6 marks per game across 17 games in 2024.

10.2
Disposals
1.5
Goals
3.6
Marks
2.7
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Richmond), Ben Long recorded 12 disposals and 3 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Richmond12356
17 Aug 24Melbourne5012
10 Aug 24Essendon16061
2 Aug 24West Coast Eagles11342
27 Jul 24Brisbane Lions11163
20 Jul 24GWS GIANTS7130
14 Jul 24Port Adelaide10162
6 Jul 24North Melbourne11253
29 Jun 24Collingwood15233
23 Jun 24Fremantle9143
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Goals 0.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Melbourne Demons @ Gold Coast Suns Goals 0.5 Over -526 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Ben Long (Gold Coast SUNS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ben Long is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.0% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Greater Western Sydney Giants on Sunday 9 August at Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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