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The latest Bet Better model pick for Sam Clohesy is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 75 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 75%, implied 63%, edge +11.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 26, 3:14PM UTC
AFL

Sam Clohesy

Gold Coast SUNS

+11.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -172 (1.58) · $100→$158
+11.9% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
ENGIE Stadium, Sydney, NSW · Outdoor
Sun 22 Jun, 3:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
75 in 100
Predicted
17.9 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 75.2% · the book's price implies 63.3% · gap +11.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals75.2%—63.3%1.33+11.9%

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AI Analysis

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Sam Clohesy (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 14.5 Disposals (-172)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Sam Clohesy is poised to exceed 14.5 disposals based on his recent form and matchup. With a model-predicted 17.9 disposals and a solid 11.9% edge, his L5 stats show consistency with 16 disposals on average in away games and 18.4 overall. Against the upcoming opponent, he averages 19 disposals, indicating a favorable matchup. Clohesy's high disposalefficiency (73.8% away, 75.2% overall) and significant metres gained (332 away, 399.2 overall) suggest he's a key ball mover. His recent hit rates (3/4 in away games, 5/6 overall) further support this bet. Expect Clohesy to maintain his form and contribute significantly to the Suns' midfield, making the Over 14.5 disposals a solid choice for this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Sam Clohesy averaged 16.2 disposals, 0.3 goals and 4.2 marks per game across 20 games in 2024.

16.2
Disposals
0.3
Goals
4.2
Marks
2.4
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Richmond), Sam Clohesy recorded 16 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Richmond16042
17 Aug 24Melbourne22063
10 Aug 24Essendon23083
2 Aug 24West Coast Eagles8002
27 Jul 24Brisbane Lions17030
20 Jul 24GWS GIANTS16020
14 Jul 24Port Adelaide10042
6 Jul 24North Melbourne15035
29 Jun 24Collingwood13022
23 Jun 24Fremantle19022
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Sam Clohesy (Gold Coast SUNS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Sam Clohesy is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.9% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Greater Western Sydney Giants on Sunday 22 June at ENGIE Stadium, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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