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AFL

Reuben Ginbey

West Coast Eagles

Value call

Reuben Ginbey (West Coast Eagles) has one live pick today: over 11.5 disposals that pays $170 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
74 in 100
Predicted
14.7 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 74.2% · the book's price implies 58.8% · gap +15.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Fremantle Dockers @ West Coast Eagles
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Sun 19 Apr, 5:10 PM AEST
Reuben Ginbey
over 11.5 disposals
Disposals Over 11.5 -143 (1.70) · $100→$170
Value call
HIGHWins about 74 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$17.00 Odds-143
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Reuben Ginbey is Over 11.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 74 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 74%, the price says 59%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 7:19PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Jul 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals74.2%—58.8%1.35+15.4%

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AI Analysis

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Reuben Ginbey (West Coast Eagles) Over 11.5 Disposals (-143)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Reuben Ginbey smashing the Over 11.5 disposals mark against Fremantle, the numbers tell a compelling tale. In his last five home games, Ginbey has been a midfield maestro, averaging a solid 11 disposals per match. What's even more intriguing is his history against Fremantle, where he has been even more dominant, averaging 14.5 disposals in their recent encounters. Ginbey's ability to read the play and rack up possessions is undeniable, highlighted by his consistent performance in contested possessions and intercepts. With an average of 7.8 kicks and 3.2 handballs in his recent home games, he is a key playmaker for the Eagles. Factor in his impressive disposal efficiency of 68.0% at home, and it's clear that Ginbey is poised to be a pivotal figure in this game. With his current form and historical success against Fremantle, Ginbey is primed to not just meet but exceed the 11.5 disposals line, making this bet a tantalizing prospect for footy punters.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Reuben Ginbey averaged 15.7 disposals, 0.0 goals and 2.7 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

15.7
Disposals
0.0
Goals
2.7
Marks
3.6
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Geelong Cats), Reuben Ginbey recorded 9 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Geelong Cats9011
18 Aug 24Carlton15010
10 Aug 24North Melbourne14034
2 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS22051
27 Jul 24Fremantle19031
20 Jul 24St Kilda22045
14 Jul 24Brisbane Lions14024
7 Jul 24Melbourne14030
30 Jun 24Hawthorn10015
23 Jun 24Essendon17015
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Apr 26 Fremantle Dockers @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 11.5 Over -143 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Fremantle Dockers @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 10.5 Over -200 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Fremantle Dockers @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 9.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT
12 Apr 26 West Coast Eagles @ Geelong Cats Disposals — — — Pending
12 Apr 26 West Coast Eagles @ Geelong Cats Disposals — — — Pending
12 Apr 26 West Coast Eagles @ Geelong Cats Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Reuben Ginbey (West Coast Eagles) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Reuben Ginbey is Over 11.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.4% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs West Coast Eagles on Sunday 19 April at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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