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The latest Bet Better model pick for Reuben Ginbey is Over 11.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 74%, versus the book's implied 59%, for a model edge of +15.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 11:16PM UTC
AFL

Reuben Ginbey

West Coast Eagles

+15.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 11.5 -145 (1.69) · $100→$169
+15.0% Edge
Fremantle Dockers @ West Coast Eagles
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Sun 19 Apr, 7:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Jul 2023). Descriptive context only.
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Model Probability
74.2%
Implied Probability
59.2%
Model Edge
+15.0%
Predicted Value
14.7 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals74.2%59.2%1.35+15.0%

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AI Analysis

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Reuben Ginbey (West Coast Eagles) Over 11.5 Disposals (-145)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

You know footy, and you know Reuben Ginbey means business. Look, he's been a linchpin at Optus Stadium, averaging 11 disposals in his last five home games. Facing Fremantle, a team he's notched up an average of 14.5 disposals against in his last five showdowns, Ginbey's like a man on a mission to dominate the midfield. With a solid L5 contested possessions average of 5 and a knack for intercepts, he's a thorn in any opponent's side. Plus, with an overall disposal efficiency of 79.8%, the man's got the skills to back it up. Bet on Ginbey to not just meet but exceed that 11.5 disposals line – he's primed to snag those possessions and make them count. Trust in Ginbey to split the middle and fill up the stat sheet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Reuben Ginbey averaged 15.7 disposals, 0.0 goals and 2.7 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

15.7
Disposals
0.0
Goals
2.7
Marks
3.6
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Geelong Cats), Reuben Ginbey recorded 9 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Geelong Cats9011
18 Aug 24Carlton15010
10 Aug 24North Melbourne14034
2 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS22051
27 Jul 24Fremantle19031
20 Jul 24St Kilda22045
14 Jul 24Brisbane Lions14024
7 Jul 24Melbourne14030
30 Jun 24Hawthorn10015
23 Jun 24Essendon17015
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Apr 26 Fremantle Dockers @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 11.5 Over -145 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Fremantle Dockers @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 10.5 Over -263 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Fremantle Dockers @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 9.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Reuben Ginbey (West Coast Eagles) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Reuben Ginbey is Over 11.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.0% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs West Coast Eagles on Sunday 19 April at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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