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The latest Bet Better model pick for Matthew Owies is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 63%, versus the book's implied 53%, for a model edge of +9.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 17, 9:42AM UTC
AFL

Matthew Owies

West Coast Eagles

+9.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -115 (1.87)
+9.3% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ West Coast Eagles
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Sun 10 Aug, 7:10AM
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Model Probability
62.8%
Implied Probability
53.5%
Model Edge
+9.3%
Predicted Value
0.8 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals62.8%—53.5%1.59+9.3%

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AI Analysis

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Matthew Owies (West Coast Eagles) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-115)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Matthew Owies is poised to snag a goal in the upcoming game against Adelaide Crows based on his recent performance indicators. Despite averaging 0 goals in his last five games, facing an opponent where he averages 0.5 goals at home provides a favorable matchup. His recent stats show an average of 1 shot at goal, 0.6 behinds, and 0.6 marks inside 50 per game. With a solid 20% goal accuracy at home and involvement in 2.4 scores on average, Owies is positioned to capitalize on scoring opportunities. The model's prediction of 0.8 goals, with a 9.3% edge, supports the expectation of him hitting the scoreboard, making him a promising choice for an anytime goal scorer bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
1.6avg goals recent
Season best3
Goals last 10avg 1.6 · hi 3 · lo 0
3102311131

Matthew Owies has a goals high of 3 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Matthew Owies (West Coast Eagles) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Matthew Owies is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.3% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs West Coast Eagles on Sunday 10 August at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.