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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Matthew Owies is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 63 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 63%, implied 53%, edge +9.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 26, 3:12PM UTC
AFL

Matthew Owies

West Coast Eagles

+9.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -115 (1.87) · $100→$187
+9.3% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ West Coast Eagles
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Sun 10 Aug, 7:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 17°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
63 in 100
Predicted
0.8 Goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 62.8% · the book's price implies 53.5% · gap +9.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals62.8%53.5%1.59+9.3%

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AI Analysis

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Matthew Owies (West Coast Eagles) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-115)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Matthew Owies is poised to snag a goal in the upcoming game against Adelaide Crows based on his recent performance indicators. Despite averaging 0 goals in his last five games, facing an opponent where he averages 0.5 goals at home provides a favorable matchup. His recent stats show an average of 1 shot at goal, 0.6 behinds, and 0.6 marks inside 50 per game. With a solid 20% goal accuracy at home and involvement in 2.4 scores on average, Owies is positioned to capitalize on scoring opportunities. The model's prediction of 0.8 goals, with a 9.3% edge, supports the expectation of him hitting the scoreboard, making him a promising choice for an anytime goal scorer bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Matthew Owies averaged 8.7 disposals, 1.4 goals and 2.9 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

8.7
Disposals
1.4
Goals
2.9
Marks
2.3
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs St Kilda), Matthew Owies recorded 11 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24St Kilda11122
18 Aug 24West Coast Eagles11332
11 Aug 24Hawthorn8133
3 Aug 24Collingwood10141
26 Jul 24Port Adelaide6124
21 Jul 24North Melbourne8352
13 Jul 24Western Bulldogs7222
6 Jul 24GWS GIANTS5011
30 Jun 24Richmond9134
21 Jun 24Geelong Cats12365
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Matthew Owies (West Coast Eagles) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Matthew Owies is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.3% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs West Coast Eagles on Sunday 10 August at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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