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The latest Bet Better model pick for Matt Rowell is Over 22.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 76 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 76%, the price says 62%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 6, 12:17PM UTC
AFL

Matt Rowell

Gold Coast SUNS

Value call

Matt Rowell (Gold Coast SUNS) has one live pick today: Disposals Over 22.5 that pays $162 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 22.5 -161 (1.62) · $100→$162
Value call
Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns
People First Stadium, Gold Coast, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 4 Jul, 6:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 12°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
76 in 100
Predicted
26.1 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 76.4% · the book's price implies 61.7% · gap +14.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals76.4%—61.7%1.31+14.7%

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AI Analysis

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Matt Rowell (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 22.5 Disposals (-161)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to reliable ball-winning prowess, Matt Rowell is the man to watch for the Gold Coast Suns as they host the Collingwood Magpies at People First Stadium. With an average of 25.4 disposals over his last five home games and a stellar 72.5% disposal efficiency, Rowell has been a standout performer in the midfield. Against Collingwood specifically, he's maintained an impressive average of 23.8 disposals. His ability to find the footy both in contested situations and uncontested play makes him a versatile threat on the field. Given his recent form and consistency, backing Rowell to surpass 22.5 disposals in this matchup is a solid bet with a high probability of hitting. Trust in Rowell to rack up the possessions and lead the Suns to victory.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 10 of last 10(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Matt Rowell averaged 23.4 disposals, 0.3 goals and 1.4 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

23.4
Disposals
0.3
Goals
1.4
Marks
8.0
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Richmond), Matt Rowell recorded 29 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Richmond29049
17 Aug 24Melbourne16016
10 Aug 24Essendon32047
2 Aug 24West Coast Eagles30019
27 Jul 24Brisbane Lions21146
20 Jul 24GWS GIANTS20011
14 Jul 24Port Adelaide16009
6 Jul 24North Melbourne24018
29 Jun 24Collingwood20024
23 Jun 24Fremantle23027
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Jul 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals 22.5 Over -161 ✓ HIT
04 Jul 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals 21.5 Over -227 ✓ HIT
04 Jul 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals 20.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
04 Jul 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals — — — Pending
04 Jul 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals — — — Pending
12 Jun 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Geelong Cats Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Matt Rowell (Gold Coast SUNS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Matt Rowell is Over 22.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.7% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Gold Coast Suns on Saturday 4 July at People First Stadium, Gold Coast. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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