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The latest Bet Better model pick for Matt Flynn is Over 9.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 72 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 72%, implied 62%, edge +10.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 26, 6:38PM UTC
AFL

Matt Flynn

West Coast Eagles

+10.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -164 (1.61) · $100→$161
+10.2% Edge
West Coast Eagles @ Geelong Cats
Norwood Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sun 12 Apr, 2:30AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: sunny, 20°C (May 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
12.5 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 72.3% · the book's price implies 62.1% · gap +10.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.3%—62.1%1.38+10.2%

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AI Analysis

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Matt Flynn (West Coast Eagles) Over 9.5 Disposals (-164)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet, Matt Flynn is the man to watch in this Geelong Cats vs. West Coast Eagles clash. The numbers tell a compelling story – Flynn has been on a tear lately, averaging 9.2 disposals in his last five away games, with a solid contested possessions average of 5.8. His ability to find the footy is backed up by his impressive overall disposals average of 10.6. Plus, facing the Cats, against whom he's averaged 10 disposals recently, Flynn looks poised to shine. With his precise disposal efficiency of 59.2% and knack for gaining crucial metres (81.8 average), he's primed to surpass the 9.5 disposals line set by the bookies. Bet on Flynn to rack up the possessions and make his mark in this Sunday showdown.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Matt Flynn averaged 8.3 disposals, 0.3 goals and 2.0 marks per game across 4 games in 2024.

8.3
Disposals
0.3
Goals
2.0
Marks
3.3
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (30 Jun 24 vs Hawthorn), Matt Flynn recorded 7 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
30 Jun 24Hawthorn7022
23 Jun 24Essendon6005
8 Jun 24North Melbourne8121
1 Jun 24St Kilda12045
14 May 23Collingwood16032
6 May 23Western Bulldogs16033
29 Apr 23Sydney Swans8004
22 Apr 23Brisbane Lions11002
16 Apr 23Hawthorn10014
9 Apr 23Essendon7004
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Matt Flynn (West Coast Eagles) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Matt Flynn is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.2% on this pick. Their next game is West Coast Eagles vs Geelong Cats on Sunday 12 April at Norwood Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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