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The latest Bet Better model pick for Matt Flynn is Over 9.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 72%, versus the book's implied 62%, for a model edge of +10.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 17, 9:47AM UTC
AFL

Matt Flynn

West Coast Eagles

+10.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -164 (1.61)
+10.2% Edge
West Coast Eagles @ Geelong Cats
Norwood Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sun 12 Apr, 2:30AM
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Model Probability
72.3%
Implied Probability
62.1%
Model Edge
+10.2%
Predicted Value
12.5 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.3%—62.1%1.38+10.2%

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AI Analysis

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Matt Flynn (West Coast Eagles) Over 9.5 Disposals (-164)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet, Matt Flynn is the man to watch in this Geelong Cats vs. West Coast Eagles clash. The numbers tell a compelling story – Flynn has been on a tear lately, averaging 9.2 disposals in his last five away games, with a solid contested possessions average of 5.8. His ability to find the footy is backed up by his impressive overall disposals average of 10.6. Plus, facing the Cats, against whom he's averaged 10 disposals recently, Flynn looks poised to shine. With his precise disposal efficiency of 59.2% and knack for gaining crucial metres (81.8 average), he's primed to surpass the 9.5 disposals line set by the bookies. Bet on Flynn to rack up the possessions and make his mark in this Sunday showdown.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
10.1avg disposals recent
Season best18
Disposals last 10avg 10.1 · hi 16 · lo 6
710118161612867

Matt Flynn has a disposals high of 18 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Apr 26 West Coast Eagles @ Geelong Cats Disposals 9.5 Over -164 ✓ HIT
04 Apr 26 Sydney Swans @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 9.5 Over -169 ✗ MISS
29 Mar 26 West Coast Eagles @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 9.5 Over -256 ✗ MISS
22 Mar 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ West Coast Eagles Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Matt Flynn (West Coast Eagles) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Matt Flynn is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.2% on this pick. Their next game is West Coast Eagles vs Geelong Cats on Sunday 12 April at Norwood Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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