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Liam Duggan

West Coast Eagles

Value call

Liam Duggan (West Coast Eagles) has one live pick today: over 15.5 disposals that pays $141 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
56 in 100
Predicted
19.0 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 55.6% · before adjusting for past results 75.9% · the book's price implies 70.9% · gap -15.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
Collingwood Magpies @ West Coast Eagles
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 4:10 PM AEST
Liam Duggan
over 15.5 disposals
Disposals Over 15.5 -244 (1.41) · $100→$141
Value call
LEANWins about 56 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$14.10 Odds-244
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Liam Duggan is Over 15.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 56 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 56%, the price says 71%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 29, 7:07PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals75.9%55.6%70.9%1.80+4.9%

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AI Analysis

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Liam Duggan (West Coast Eagles) Over 15.5 Disposals (-244)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright footy punters, let's talk about Liam Duggan from the West Coast Eagles and why he's primed to shine in the disposals department against Collingwood. Duggan has been a pillar of consistency, averaging a solid 21.2 disposals in his last 5 home games, including a whopping 34.5 against Collingwood. His ability to read the play and intercept (4.4 per game) gives him a strong chance to rack up possessions. With a reliable disposal efficiency of 70.7% and a recent hit streak of 5 home games with over 15.5 disposals, Duggan is in a prime position to deliver for us once again. Factor in his significant metres gained (518.4 average) and you have a player with the tools to impact the game. Bet on Duggan to surpass 15.5 disposals and watch him dominate the midfield battle at Optus Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 8 of last 10(80%)
Overall Hit Rate (20 picks) 75.0% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Season averages (2024)

Liam Duggan averaged 21.5 disposals, 0.1 goals and 6.6 marks per game across 21 games in 2024.

21.5
Disposals
0.1
Goals
6.6
Marks
2.7
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Geelong Cats), Liam Duggan recorded 8 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Geelong Cats8002
18 Aug 24Carlton24094
10 Aug 24North Melbourne14034
2 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS22158
14 Jul 24Brisbane Lions6011
7 Jul 24Melbourne20061
30 Jun 24Hawthorn280143
23 Jun 24Essendon19054
8 Jun 24North Melbourne18042
1 Jun 24St Kilda25082
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 15.5 Over -244 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 14.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 13.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
24 Jul 26 West Coast Eagles @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending
24 Jul 26 West Coast Eagles @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending
24 Jul 26 West Coast Eagles @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Liam Duggan (West Coast Eagles) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 75.0% on tracked Liam Duggan picks. The latest model pick for Liam Duggan is Over 15.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.9% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs West Coast Eagles on Sunday 9 August at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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