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AFL

Liam Baker

West Coast Eagles

+0.3% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 17.5 -233 (1.43)
+0.3% Edge
Fremantle Dockers @ West Coast Eagles
Optus Stadium, Perth
Sun 19 Apr, 7:10AM
Model Probability
70.3%
Implied Probability
69.9%
Model Edge
+0.3%
Predicted Value
20.2 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Liam Baker (West Coast Eagles) Over 17.5 Disposals (-233)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to sharp footy betting, the focus is on players who consistently impact the game. Liam Baker is one such player for the West Coast Eagles. His recent form at home showcases his ability to find the footy with an average of 19.6 disposals per game, even surpassing the line set at 17.5. Against Fremantle, he ramps it up further, averaging 20.7 disposals in his last five encounters. Baker's knack for contested possessions (6.4 avg), coupled with his solid disposal efficiency (72.2% avg), makes him a reliable choice to snag more than 17.5 disposals this game. His ability to cover the ground efficiently, gaining an average of 319.4 meters, further solidifies his potential to dominate against the Dockers. With a consistent hit rate, Baker is poised to be a key player in surpassing his disposal line.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 50.0% (2/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Jul 25 West Coast Eagles @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 19.5 Over -217 ✗ MISS
15 Jun 25 Carlton Blues @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 19.5 Over -222 ✓ HIT
25 May 25 West Coast Eagles @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 19.5 Over -213 ✗ MISS
18 May 25 St Kilda Saints @ West Coast Eagles Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Liam Baker (West Coast Eagles) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (2/4). The latest model pick for Liam Baker is Over 17.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.3% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs West Coast Eagles on Sunday 19 April at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.