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AFL

John Noble

Gold Coast SUNS

Value call

John Noble (Gold Coast SUNS) has one live pick today: over 21.5 disposals that pays $147 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
76 in 100
Predicted
25.0 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 75.7% · the book's price implies 68.0% · gap +7.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
Melbourne Demons @ Gold Coast Suns
People First Stadium, Gold Coast, QLD · Outdoor
Sun 2 Aug, 3:15 PM AEST
John Noble
over 21.5 disposals
Disposals Over 21.5 -213 (1.47) · $100→$147
Value call
HIGHWins about 76 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$14.70 Odds-213
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for John Noble is Over 21.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 76 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 76%, the price says 68%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 4:10PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 19°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals75.7%—68.0%1.32+7.7%

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AI Analysis

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John Noble (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 21.5 Disposals (-213)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to go Over in disposals, John Noble stands out for the Gold Coast Suns against the Melbourne Demons. Noble has been a midfield maestro at home, averaging a whopping 31.2 disposals over his last five games. His ability to find space and move the ball efficiently with a handball average of 10.4 and kick average of 20.8 makes him a pivotal player. Facing Melbourne, who he has historically performed well against with an average of 25.6 disposals, Noble is poised to dominate the midfield battle at People First Stadium. With his recent form and the model predicting him hitting 25 disposals, taking the Over 21.5 seems like a solid bet to snag a win on this AFL showdown.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

John Noble averaged 18.9 disposals, 0.1 goals and 4.7 marks per game across 20 games in 2024.

18.9
Disposals
0.1
Goals
4.7
Marks
2.7
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (23 Aug 24 vs Melbourne), John Noble recorded 20 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
23 Aug 24Melbourne20072
17 Aug 24Brisbane Lions20044
9 Aug 24Sydney Swans14043
3 Aug 24Carlton12014
28 Jul 24Richmond21031
20 Jul 24Hawthorn7014
12 Jul 24Geelong Cats28053
29 Jun 24Gold Coast SUNS17043
16 Jun 24North Melbourne8025
10 Jun 24Melbourne24072
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
02 Aug 26 Melbourne Demons @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals 21.5 Over -213 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Melbourne Demons @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals 20.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Melbourne Demons @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals 19.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Melbourne Demons @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals — — — Pending
25 Jul 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Carlton Blues Disposals — — — Pending
25 Jul 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Carlton Blues Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

John Noble (Gold Coast SUNS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for John Noble is Over 21.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.7% on this pick. Their next game is Melbourne Demons vs Gold Coast Suns on Sunday 2 August at People First Stadium, Gold Coast. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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