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The latest Bet Better model pick for John Noble is Over 20.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 82 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 82%, implied 75%, edge +6.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 26, 3:53PM UTC
AFL

John Noble

Gold Coast SUNS

+6.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 20.5 -303 (1.33) · $100→$133
+6.4% Edge
Melbourne Demons @ Gold Coast Suns
People First Stadium, Gold Coast, QLD · Outdoor
Sun 2 Aug, 5:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 19°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
82 in 100
Predicted
25.0 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 81.6% · the book's price implies 75.2% · gap +6.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals81.6%—75.2%1.23+6.4%

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AI Analysis

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John Noble (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 20.5 Disposals (-303)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at John Noble's recent form, it's clear he's been a midfield maestro for the Gold Coast Suns. In his last five home games, Noble has been a ball magnet, averaging a stellar 31.2 disposals per game. Facing Melbourne, he's maintained an impressive average of 23.7 disposals, suggesting he thrives against this opponent. With a knack for finding space and using the ball efficiently (87.6% disposal efficiency), Noble is poised to surpass the 20.5 disposal line set by sportsbet. His ability to win contested possessions (5.4 average) and cover ground (637.2 metres gained) further solidify his potential to dominate the midfield battle. Bet confidently on Noble to rack up the touches and lead the Suns to victory at People First Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Season averages (2024)

John Noble averaged 18.9 disposals, 0.1 goals and 4.7 marks per game across 20 games in 2024.

18.9
Disposals
0.1
Goals
4.7
Marks
2.7
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (23 Aug 24 vs Melbourne), John Noble recorded 20 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
23 Aug 24Melbourne20072
17 Aug 24Brisbane Lions20044
9 Aug 24Sydney Swans14043
3 Aug 24Carlton12014
28 Jul 24Richmond21031
20 Jul 24Hawthorn7014
12 Jul 24Geelong Cats28053
29 Jun 24Gold Coast SUNS17043
16 Jun 24North Melbourne8025
10 Jun 24Melbourne24072
Quick answers:How many disposals does John Noble average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
02 Aug 26 Melbourne Demons @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals 20.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Melbourne Demons @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals 19.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Melbourne Demons @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals 18.5 Over -625 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Melbourne Demons @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals — — — Pending
25 Jul 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Carlton Blues Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

John Noble (Gold Coast SUNS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for John Noble is Over 20.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.4% on this pick. Their next game is Melbourne Demons vs Gold Coast Suns on Sunday 2 August at People First Stadium, Gold Coast. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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