Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Today's bet is live / One clear pick a day / Tracked in public — wins & losses / Free to start, no card
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jobe Shanahan is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 81%, versus the book's implied 81%, for a model edge of +0.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:16AM UTC
AFL

Jobe Shanahan

West Coast Eagles

+0.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -417 (1.24)
+0.3% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ West Coast Eagles
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Sat 18 Jul, 10:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL and NFL only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
81.0%
Implied Probability
80.6%
Model Edge
+0.3%
Predicted Value
1.2 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals81.0%80.6%1.24+0.3%

See every market's calibrated edge

Unlock the full calibrated-probability grid across every market for this player — model vs calibrated vs fair value.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Jobe Shanahan (West Coast Eagles) Over 0.5 Goals (-417)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to snag a goal, Jobe Shanahan is as reliable as they come. In his last five home games, he's been on fire, averaging 1.4 goals per game with a stellar goal accuracy of 60.0%. Shanahan isn't just a finisher; he's a key playmaker too, consistently getting involved in the Eagles' attacking moves with 3.6 score involvements per game. Facing the Brisbane Lions at Optus Stadium, Shanahan's recent form and his current hot streak of hitting the back of the net in five consecutive home games make him a prime candidate to split the middle at least once in this clash. With an implied probability of 80.6% for him to score over 0.5 goals, backing Shanahan to light up the scoreboard is a calculated bet with a high chance of paying off.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Jobe Shanahan - AFL Goals market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Jul 26 Brisbane Lions @ West Coast Eagles Goals 0.5 Over -417 ✓ HIT
12 Jul 26 West Coast Eagles @ Western Bulldogs Goals 0.5 Over -417 ✗ MISS
03 Jul 26 Adelaide Crows @ West Coast Eagles Goals 0.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
13 Jun 26 West Coast Eagles @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Goals Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Jobe Shanahan (West Coast Eagles) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jobe Shanahan is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.3% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs West Coast Eagles on Saturday 18 July at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks