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AFL

Jesse Hogan

GWS GIANTS

+16.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 1.5 -175 (1.57)
+16.2% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
ENGIE Stadium, Sydney
Sat 6 Sep, 5:15AM
Model Probability
79.9%
Implied Probability
63.7%
Model Edge
+16.2%
Predicted Value
2.2 Goals

AI Analysis

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Jesse Hogan (GWS GIANTS) Over 1.5 Goals (-175)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jesse Hogan is a solid bet to score over 1.5 goals against Hawthorn based on his recent form. With a strong average of 2.2 goals over the last five games, including 3.2 against Hawthorn, Hogan's scoring prowess is evident. His high score involvements (5.4) and marks inside 50 (3.4) further support his goal-scoring potential. Although his goal accuracy (42.9%) could be improved, his consistent shot opportunities (4.2 per game) increase his chances of snagging goals. Playing at home and facing an opponent he has historically performed well against, Hogan's goal-scoring trend, especially against Hawthorn, makes the Over 1.5 goals bet enticing.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (48 picks) 66.7% (32/48)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Goals 1.5 Over -175 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Goals 1.5 Over -175 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Goals 1.5 Over -175 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Goals Pending
06 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Goals Pending
06 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Goals Pending

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