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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jed Walter is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 93%, versus the book's implied 84%, for a model edge of +9.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 6, 10:51AM UTC
AFL

Jed Walter

Gold Coast SUNS

+9.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -526 (1.19)
+9.0% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra, ACT · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 3:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Model Probability
93.0%
Implied Probability
84.0%
Model Edge
+9.0%
Predicted Value
1.7 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals93.0%84.0%1.07+9.0%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games3/10

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AI Analysis

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Jed Walter (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 0.5 Goals (-526)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jed Walter is a sharpshooter on a tear lately, bagging an impressive 2.2 goals per game in his last five away matches. With a goal accuracy of 75% and an average of 3 shots at goal per game, he's been a constant threat in the forward line. Plus, Walter has been instrumental in setting up plays, averaging 1.8 marks inside 50 and 4.4 score involvements per game on the road. Facing the GWS Giants, who have struggled to contain him in the past, Walter's form looks primed for another standout performance. With a current hit streak of 5 away games and hitting the mark in 10 out of his last 11 overall, backing him to snag at least one goal seems like a sensible bet. Watch for Walter to split the middle and deliver for punters looking to capitalize on his hot streak.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)

Betting angles

1 market live
Goalsvs Greater Western Sydney GiantsO 0.5 -417
90%hit L10 O 0.5
1.8avg goals L5
Away2.2vs GWS GIANTS0.3Season best2
O 0.590%
O 1.570%
O 2.530%
Game log vs line (O 0.5)4 / 10 hit
2120000020

Jed Walter has gone over 0.5 goals in 9 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 1.8 goals, best 2). Current line: Over 0.5 at -417.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
02 Aug 26 Melbourne Demons @ Gold Coast Suns Goals 0.5 Over -667 ✓ HIT
25 Jul 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Carlton Blues Goals 0.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
19 Jul 26 Western Bulldogs @ Gold Coast Suns Goals 0.5 Over -833 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Jed Walter (Gold Coast SUNS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jed Walter is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.0% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Greater Western Sydney Giants on Sunday 9 August at Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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