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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jed Walter is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 93%, versus the book's implied 82%, for a model edge of +11.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 17, 9:35AM UTC
AFL

Jed Walter

Gold Coast SUNS

+11.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -455 (1.22)
+11.1% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 11 Jul, 10:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Model Probability
93.0%
Implied Probability
82.0%
Model Edge
+11.1%
Predicted Value
1.7 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals93.0%—82.0%1.07+11.1%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Jed Walter (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 0.5 Goals (-455)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jed Walter, the sharpshooter from Gold Coast Suns, is our man to back in the 'Player Goals Over' market against Adelaide Crows. Over the last five away games, Walter has been on fire, averaging 1.6 goals per game with a solid 43.0% goal accuracy. His recent performance against Adelaide also boasts an average of 1 goal per game. With a current hit streak of 3 away games and 7 overall, Walter is in prime form to snag another goal. His ability to impact the scoreboard is further underlined by averaging 3 shots at goal and 3.6 score involvements per game. Expect Walter to make his mark at Adelaide Oval and split the middle for Gold Coast Suns.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
70%hit L10 O 1.5
1.8avg goals L5
Home2vs Western Bulldogs0Season best2
O 0.590%
O 1.570%
O 2.530%
Game log vs line (O 1.5)avg 0.7 · hi 2 · lo 0
2120000020

Jed Walter has gone over 1.5 goals in 7 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 1.8 goals, best 2).

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Jul 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Adelaide Crows Goals 0.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
12 Jun 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Geelong Cats Goals 0.5 Over -357 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Jed Walter (Gold Coast SUNS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jed Walter is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.1% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Adelaide Crows on Saturday 11 July at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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