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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jed Walter is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 80 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 80%, implied 84%, edge +9.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 26, 1:56PM UTC
AFL

Jed Walter

Gold Coast SUNS

+9.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -526 (1.19) · $100→$119
+9.0% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra, ACT · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 3:10AM
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Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
93 in 100
Predicted
1.7 Goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 93.0% · the book's price implies 84.0% · gap +9.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals93.0%80.4%84.0%1.24+9.0%

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AI Analysis

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Jed Walter (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 0.5 Goals (-526)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jed Walter is a sharpshooter on a tear lately, bagging an impressive 2.2 goals per game in his last five away matches. With a goal accuracy of 75% and an average of 3 shots at goal per game, he's been a constant threat in the forward line. Plus, Walter has been instrumental in setting up plays, averaging 1.8 marks inside 50 and 4.4 score involvements per game on the road. Facing the GWS Giants, who have struggled to contain him in the past, Walter's form looks primed for another standout performance. With a current hit streak of 5 away games and hitting the mark in 10 out of his last 11 overall, backing him to snag at least one goal seems like a sensible bet. Watch for Walter to split the middle and deliver for punters looking to capitalize on his hot streak.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Jed Walter averaged 5.7 disposals, 0.8 goals and 1.8 marks per game across 14 games in 2024.

5.7
Disposals
0.8
Goals
1.8
Marks
2.2
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (17 Aug 24 vs Melbourne), Jed Walter recorded 7 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
17 Aug 24Melbourne7061
10 Aug 24Essendon7211
20 Jul 24GWS GIANTS6025
14 Jul 24Port Adelaide1002
8 Jun 24St Kilda5003
2 Jun 24Essendon5023
25 May 24Carlton1010
11 May 24North Melbourne11223
5 May 24Brisbane Lions5113
28 Apr 24West Coast Eagles8241
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Goals 0.5 Over -526 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Melbourne Demons @ Gold Coast Suns Goals 0.5 Over -667 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Jed Walter (Gold Coast SUNS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jed Walter is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.0% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Greater Western Sydney Giants on Sunday 9 August at Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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