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AFL

Jarrod Witts

Gold Coast SUNS

Value call

Jarrod Witts (Gold Coast SUNS) has one live pick today: over 9.5 disposals that pays $141 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
74 in 100
Predicted
12.7 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 73.9% · the book's price implies 70.9% · gap +3.0%.

Latest Model PickFree
Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 13 Sep, 7:35 PM AEST
Jarrod Witts
over 9.5 disposals
Disposals Over 9.5 -244 (1.41) · $100→$141
Value call
HIGHWins about 74 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$14.10 Odds-244
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jarrod Witts is Over 9.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 74 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 74%, the price says 71%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 4:14PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 12°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals73.9%—70.9%1.35+3.0%

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AI Analysis

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Jarrod Witts (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 9.5 Disposals (-244)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jarrod Witts is poised to excel against the Brisbane Lions based on his strong recent form. With an impressive 15.4 disposals average in his last five away games and a solid 9.8 disposals average against this opponent, Witts is likely to surpass the set line of 9.5 disposals. His exceptional disposal efficiency of 61.1% and consistent contested possessions averaging 10.6 further support this bet. Witts' current hit streak of 7 away games and 16 overall, showcasing his reliability, make him a solid choice to continue his consistent performance and secure over 9.5 disposals in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Jarrod Witts averaged 13.9 disposals, 0.5 goals and 2.4 marks per game across 16 games in 2024.

13.9
Disposals
0.5
Goals
2.4
Marks
3.9
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Richmond), Jarrod Witts recorded 19 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Richmond19123
17 Aug 24Melbourne8214
10 Aug 24Essendon14033
2 Aug 24West Coast Eagles21164
27 Jul 24Brisbane Lions7133
29 Jun 24Collingwood19032
23 Jun 24Fremantle13034
25 May 24Carlton14124
11 May 24North Melbourne10125
5 May 24Brisbane Lions6011
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jarrod Witts (Gold Coast SUNS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jarrod Witts is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.0% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 13 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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