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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jarrod Witts is Over 9.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 74%, versus the book's implied 72%, for a model edge of +1.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 17, 9:45AM UTC
AFL

Jarrod Witts

Gold Coast SUNS

+1.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -263 (1.38)
+1.6% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 13 Sep, 9:35AM
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Model Probability
74.1%
Implied Probability
72.5%
Model Edge
+1.6%
Predicted Value
12.7 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals74.1%—72.5%1.35+1.6%

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AI Analysis

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Jarrod Witts (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 9.5 Disposals (-263)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jarrod Witts has been a dominant force in recent games, boasting a solid average of 15.4 disposals per game away. With a current hit streak of 7 for away games and a perfect hit rate in the last 16 games, Witts is consistent in meeting or exceeding the line. Against Brisbane, he has historically performed well, averaging 9.8 disposals in their matchups. The model's prediction of 12.7 disposals, with a standard deviation of 5, indicates a high likelihood of surpassing the 9.5 disposal line. Witts' ability to secure contested possessions, efficient disposals, and maintain a high hit rate make him a reliable choice for this bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
13.1avg disposals recent
Season best21
Disposals last 10avg 13.1 · hi 21 · lo 6
61014131972114819

Jarrod Witts has a disposals high of 21 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jarrod Witts (Gold Coast SUNS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jarrod Witts is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.6% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 13 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.