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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jaeger O'Meara is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 71 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 71%, implied 70%, edge +1.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 7:28PM UTC
AFL

Jaeger O'Meara

Fremantle

+1.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -233 (1.43) · $100→$143
+1.5% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Sat 6 Sep, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
71 in 100
Predicted
17.3 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 71.4% · the book's price implies 69.9% · gap +1.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals71.4%—69.9%1.40+1.5%

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AI Analysis

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Jaeger O'Meara (Fremantle) Over 14.5 Disposals (-233)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jaeger O'Meara is poised to surpass 14.5 disposals against the Gold Coast Suns at Optus Stadium. With a model prediction of 17.3 disposals and a slight edge of 1.5%, O'Meara's recent form supports this bet. In his last five home games, he has averaged 13.4 disposals, with a solid contested possessions average of 6.6. Facing the Suns, he has historically notched 18.7 disposals. Despite a current hit streak of 0, O'Meara boasts a strong 9/11 hit rate in recent home games and a solid 15/20 overall. Expect him to capitalize on his skill set and the matchup, making the Over 14.5 disposals a favorable bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Jaeger O'Meara averaged 15.3 disposals, 0.4 goals and 3.6 marks per game across 22 games in 2024.

15.3
Disposals
0.4
Goals
3.6
Marks
2.9
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Port Adelaide), Jaeger O'Meara recorded 19 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24Port Adelaide19054
17 Aug 24GWS GIANTS15045
10 Aug 24Geelong Cats14031
4 Aug 24Essendon16023
27 Jul 24West Coast Eagles20242
21 Jul 24Melbourne21072
13 Jul 24Hawthorn19063
6 Jul 24Richmond11104
29 Jun 24Sydney Swans15141
23 Jun 24Gold Coast SUNS19147
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jaeger O'Meara (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jaeger O'Meara is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.5% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Fremantle Dockers on Saturday 6 September at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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