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AFL

Jaeger O'Meara

Fremantle

Value call

Jaeger O'Meara (Fremantle) has one live pick today: over 14.5 disposals that pays $146 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
71 in 100
Predicted
17.3 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 71.4% · the book's price implies 68.5% · gap +2.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Gold Coast Suns @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Sat 6 Sep, 7:35 PM AEST
Jaeger O'Meara
over 14.5 disposals
Disposals Over 14.5 -217 (1.46) · $100→$146
Value call
HIGHWins about 71 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$14.60 Odds-217
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jaeger O'Meara is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 71 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 71%, the price says 68%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 4:51PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals71.4%—68.5%1.40+2.9%

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AI Analysis

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Jaeger O'Meara (Fremantle) Over 14.5 Disposals (-217)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jaeger O'Meara is a solid bet to go over 14.5 disposals in the upcoming game against Gold Coast at home. With a model prediction of 17.3, indicating a 2.9% edge, and an implied probability of 68.5%, O'Meara's recent form supports this. In his last five home games, he has averaged 13.4 disposals, with a high of 18.7 against this opponent. His overall disposals average stands at 16, further boosting his potential to surpass the line. O'Meara's consistency, coupled with his ability to find the ball and impact games, makes him a strong candidate to exceed 14.5 disposals in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Jaeger O'Meara averaged 15.3 disposals, 0.4 goals and 3.6 marks per game across 22 games in 2024.

15.3
Disposals
0.4
Goals
3.6
Marks
2.9
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Port Adelaide), Jaeger O'Meara recorded 19 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24Port Adelaide19054
17 Aug 24GWS GIANTS15045
10 Aug 24Geelong Cats14031
4 Aug 24Essendon16023
27 Jul 24West Coast Eagles20242
21 Jul 24Melbourne21072
13 Jul 24Hawthorn19063
6 Jul 24Richmond11104
29 Jun 24Sydney Swans15141
23 Jun 24Gold Coast SUNS19147
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jaeger O'Meara (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jaeger O'Meara is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.9% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Fremantle Dockers on Saturday 6 September at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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