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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jaeger O'Meara is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 71%, versus the book's implied 70%, for a model edge of +1.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 5:18PM UTC
AFL

Jaeger O'Meara

Fremantle

+1.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -233 (1.43) · $100→$143
+1.5% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Sat 6 Sep, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
71.4%
Implied Probability
69.9%
Model Edge
+1.5%
Predicted Value
17.3 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals71.4%—69.9%1.40+1.5%

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AI Analysis

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Jaeger O'Meara (Fremantle) Over 14.5 Disposals (-233)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jaeger O'Meara is poised to surpass 14.5 disposals against the Gold Coast Suns at Optus Stadium. With a model prediction of 17.3 disposals and a slight edge of 1.5%, O'Meara's recent form supports this bet. In his last five home games, he has averaged 13.4 disposals, with a solid contested possessions average of 6.6. Facing the Suns, he has historically notched 18.7 disposals. Despite a current hit streak of 0, O'Meara boasts a strong 9/11 hit rate in recent home games and a solid 15/20 overall. Expect him to capitalize on his skill set and the matchup, making the Over 14.5 disposals a favorable bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
16.9avg disposals recent
Season best26
Disposals last 10avg 16.9 · hi 21 · lo 11
19151119212016141519

Jaeger O'Meara has a disposals high of 26 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jaeger O'Meara (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jaeger O'Meara is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.5% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Fremantle Dockers on Saturday 6 September at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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