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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jack Hutchinson is Over 9.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 82%, versus the book's implied 75%, for a model edge of +6.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 17, 9:47AM UTC
AFL

Jack Hutchinson

West Coast Eagles

+6.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -303 (1.33)
+6.4% Edge
West Coast Eagles @ Port Adelaide Power
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sun 13 Jul, 6:40AM
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Model Probability
81.6%
Implied Probability
75.2%
Model Edge
+6.4%
Predicted Value
14.0 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals81.6%75.2%1.23+6.4%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games6/10

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AI Analysis

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Jack Hutchinson (West Coast Eagles) Over 9.5 Disposals (-303)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jack Hutchinson is poised to excel in the upcoming away game against Port Adelaide based on his recent form. With a solid average of 14.2 disposals in his last five away games and a current hit streak of 2, Hutchinson has been consistently involved in the play. His mix of contested possessions (4.8), handballs (6.2), and kicks (8) showcases his versatility and ability to impact the game across various metrics. Additionally, his strong disposal efficiency (52.0%) and ability to gain meters (288.2) further support his potential to surpass the 9.5 disposal line set by sportsbet. Hutchinson's recent performance trends and statistical consistency make him a reliable choice to exceed expectations in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
60%hit L10 O 9.5
8avg disposals L5
Home9.2vs Brisbane Lions8Season best24
O 9.560%
O 10.550%
O 11.540%
O 12.530%
O 13.530%
O 14.530%
Game log vs line (O 9.5)avg 8.9 · hi 24 · lo 1
418810724

Jack Hutchinson has gone over 9.5 disposals in 6 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 8 disposals, best 24).

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jack Hutchinson (West Coast Eagles) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jack Hutchinson is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.4% on this pick. Their next game is West Coast Eagles vs Port Adelaide Power on Sunday 13 July at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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