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AFL

Daniel Rioli

Gold Coast SUNS

+11.7% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 18.5 -108 (1.93)
+11.7% Edge
Geelong Cats @ Gold Coast Suns
People First Stadium, Gold Coast
Fri 6 Mar, 9:05AM
Model Probability
63.6%
Implied Probability
51.8%
Model Edge
+11.7%
Predicted Value
16.8 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Daniel Rioli (Gold Coast SUNS) Under 18.5 Disposals (-108)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at Daniel Rioli's recent form, he's been a standout for the Gold Coast Suns, consistently hitting his disposal mark. However, when facing the Geelong Cats, Rioli's averages take a slight dip. Over his last five encounters with the Cats, he's fallen just short of the 18.5 line, averaging 19.7 disposals. Despite his overall solid performance, Rioli tends to have a more subdued game against Geelong. While Rioli has been a key player for the Suns recently, his past performances against the Cats suggest he might struggle to reach the 18.5 disposals threshold this time around. With an implied probability of 51.8% for the under, the data points towards a potential underwhelming disposal count for Rioli in this upcoming clash at People First Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 68.0% (34/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Mar 26 Geelong Cats @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals 18.5 Under -108 ✗ MISS
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 14.5 Over -192 ✗ MISS
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 14.5 Over -192 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals Pending
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals Pending
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals Pending

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