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The latest Bet Better model pick for Colby McKercher is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 91%, versus the book's implied 89%, for a model edge of +1.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:05PM UTC
AFL

Colby McKercher

North Melbourne

+1.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -833 (1.12)
+1.6% Edge
North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sun 5 Jul, 6:40AM
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Model Probability
90.9%
Implied Probability
89.3%
Model Edge
+1.6%
Predicted Value
21.1 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals90.9%—89.3%1.10+1.6%

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AI Analysis

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Colby McKercher (North Melbourne) Over 14.5 Disposals (-833)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Colby McKercher hitting the Over 14.5 disposals mark against Port Adelaide, the numbers tell a compelling story. In his last five away games, McKercher has been a midfield powerhouse, averaging a solid 23.2 disposals. His recent form boasts an impressive disposal efficiency of 74.0% and a knack for gaining valuable metres, averaging 370.4 per game. Facing Port Adelaide, he's maintained an average of 19 disposals in their previous encounters. With a current hit streak of 13 away games and an overall hit rate of 13 out of 14, McKercher is in red-hot form. So, expect him to keep his disposal numbers ticking over and easily surpass the 14.5 mark, making this player prop bet a smart play for footy punters.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
28.7avg disposals recent
Season best37
Disposals last 10avg 28.7 · hi 37 · lo 19
32303037252231372419

Colby McKercher has a disposals high of 37 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 14.5 Over -833 ✓ HIT
05 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 15.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
05 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 16.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
05 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals — — — Pending
05 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals — — — Pending
13 Jun 26 West Coast Eagles @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Colby McKercher (North Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Colby McKercher is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.6% on this pick. Their next game is North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Port Adelaide Power on Sunday 5 July at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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