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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Colby McKercher is Under 23.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 73 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 73%, implied 55%, edge +17.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 1, 4:24AM UTC
AFL

Colby McKercher

North Melbourne

+17.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Under 23.5 -123 (1.81) · $100→$181
+17.6% Edge
St Kilda Saints @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 26 Jul, 5:15AM
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Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
20.5 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 72.9% · the book's price implies 55.2% · gap +17.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.9%55.2%1.37+17.6%

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AI Analysis

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Colby McKercher (North Melbourne) Under 23.5 Disposals (-123)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Colby McKercher, the Kangaroos' midfield maestro, is gearing up to tame the Saints at Marvel Stadium. Despite his recent home form showing promise, averaging 20 disposals over the last five games, McKercher faces a formidable challenge against St Kilda, a team he's historically struggled against, managing just 33 disposals in their last encounter. With the model predicting him to notch 20.5 disposals, a figure he's fallen short of in three of his last five home games, the under 23.5 line looks enticing. McKercher's precision may be sharp, boasting an 82.9% disposal efficiency, but facing a fierce St Kilda midfield might force him into more turnovers than usual. With a 55.2% implied probability to stay under 23.5 disposals, McKercher could find himself fighting for every touch in a heated battle on Sunday.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Colby McKercher averaged 23.8 disposals, 0.0 goals and 4.4 marks per game across 16 games in 2024.

23.8
Disposals
0.0
Goals
4.4
Marks
1.8
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Hawthorn), Colby McKercher recorded 19 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Hawthorn19053
18 Aug 24Western Bulldogs24032
10 Aug 24West Coast Eagles37051
3 Aug 24Richmond31032
21 Jul 24Carlton22045
13 Jul 24Sydney Swans25070
6 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS37061
11 May 24Gold Coast SUNS30021
4 May 24St Kilda30033
27 Apr 24Adelaide Crows32070
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Jul 26 St Kilda Saints @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 23.5 Under -123 ✓ HIT
05 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 14.5 Over -833 ✗ MISS
05 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 15.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
05 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals Pending
05 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals Pending
05 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Colby McKercher (North Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Colby McKercher is Under 23.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.6% on this pick. Their next game is St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Sunday 26 July at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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