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The latest Bet Better model pick for Brady Hough is Over 9.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 91%, versus the book's implied 82%, for a model edge of +9.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 17, 9:43AM UTC
AFL

Brady Hough

West Coast Eagles

+9.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -455 (1.22)
+9.2% Edge
Fremantle Dockers @ West Coast Eagles
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Sun 19 Apr, 7:10AM
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Model Probability
91.2%
Implied Probability
82.0%
Model Edge
+9.2%
Predicted Value
16.3 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals91.2%—82.0%1.10+9.2%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games8/10

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AI Analysis

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Brady Hough (West Coast Eagles) Over 9.5 Disposals (-455)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Brady Hough, the Eagles' seasoned midfielder, is our man for the 'Disposals Over' pick this weekend against the Dockers at Optus Stadium. Hough has been on fire at home, averaging a stellar 20 disposals over his last five games. His recent form is red hot, boasting an impressive 80.5% disposal efficiency and a knack for finding space with 257.8 metres gained on average. Facing Fremantle, a team he's historically dominated with a 14 disposal average, Hough is primed to shine. With a current hit streak of 6 at home and an overall hit rate of 10 out of his last 11 games, the data points to Hough surpassing the 9.5 disposal line comfortably. Lock in Hough for a disposals masterclass on Sunday.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 2 of last 3(67%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
70%hit L10 O 10.5
10.8avg disposals L5
Home10vs Brisbane Lions18Season best25
O 9.580%
O 10.570%
O 11.560%
O 12.520%
Game log vs line (O 10.5)avg 13.8 · hi 22 · lo 4
131514182281915104

Brady Hough has gone over 10.5 disposals in 7 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 10.8 disposals, best 25).

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Apr 26 Fremantle Dockers @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 9.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Fremantle Dockers @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 10.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Fremantle Dockers @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 11.5 Over -200 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Brady Hough (West Coast Eagles) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brady Hough is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.2% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs West Coast Eagles on Sunday 19 April at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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