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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Bailey J. Williams is Over 11.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 70 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 70%, implied 70%, edge +0.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 14, 2:37PM UTC
AFL

Bailey J. Williams

West Coast Eagles

+0.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 11.5 -233 (1.43) · $100→$143
+0.4% Edge
West Coast Eagles @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Sat 13 Jun, 6:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
70 in 100
Predicted
14.2 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 70.3% · the book's price implies 69.9% · gap +0.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals70.3%69.9%1.42+0.4%

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AI Analysis

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Bailey J. Williams (West Coast Eagles) Over 11.5 Disposals (-233)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Bailey J. Williams, the Eagles' rising star, is poised to shine in the upcoming clash against North Melbourne. With an average of 15 disposals over his last 5 away games and a consistent 4-game hit streak, Williams thrives under pressure. His precise kicking style and knack for contested possessions make him a pivotal player in West Coast's midfield battles. Facing the Kangaroos, against whom he averages 12.2 disposals, Williams is likely to exploit this matchup advantage. With a model prediction of 14.2 disposals and a solid 58.1% disposal efficiency, backing Williams to surpass 11.5 disposals is a smart play with a 69.9% implied probability. Expect Williams to make his mark at Optus Stadium as he continues his stellar form away from home.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Bailey J. Williams averaged 11.1 disposals, 0.2 goals and 1.9 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

11.1
Disposals
0.2
Goals
1.9
Marks
2.6
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Geelong Cats), Bailey J. Williams recorded 12 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Geelong Cats12034
18 Aug 24Carlton14024
10 Aug 24North Melbourne13012
2 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS14026
27 Jul 24Fremantle13053
20 Jul 24St Kilda10024
14 Jul 24Brisbane Lions10045
7 Jul 24Melbourne10011
30 Jun 24Hawthorn6130
23 Jun 24Essendon5002
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Jun 26 West Coast Eagles @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 11.5 Over -233 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Bailey J. Williams (West Coast Eagles) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Bailey J. Williams is Over 11.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.4% on this pick. Their next game is West Coast Eagles vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Saturday 13 June at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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