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The latest Bet Better model pick for Bailey J. Williams is Over 11.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 70%, versus the book's implied 70%, for a model edge of +0.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 25, 11:48AM UTC
AFL

Bailey J. Williams

West Coast Eagles

+0.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 11.5 -233 (1.43)
+0.4% Edge
West Coast Eagles @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Sat 13 Jun, 6:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Model Probability
70.3%
Implied Probability
69.9%
Model Edge
+0.4%
Predicted Value
14.2 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals70.3%—69.9%1.42+0.4%

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AI Analysis

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Bailey J. Williams (West Coast Eagles) Over 11.5 Disposals (-233)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Bailey J. Williams, the Eagles' rising star, is poised to shine in the upcoming clash against North Melbourne. With an average of 15 disposals over his last 5 away games and a consistent 4-game hit streak, Williams thrives under pressure. His precise kicking style and knack for contested possessions make him a pivotal player in West Coast's midfield battles. Facing the Kangaroos, against whom he averages 12.2 disposals, Williams is likely to exploit this matchup advantage. With a model prediction of 14.2 disposals and a solid 58.1% disposal efficiency, backing Williams to surpass 11.5 disposals is a smart play with a 69.9% implied probability. Expect Williams to make his mark at Optus Stadium as he continues his stellar form away from home.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
10.7avg disposals recent
Season best17
Disposals last 10avg 10.7 · hi 14 · lo 5
561010101314131412

Bailey J. Williams has a disposals high of 17 in AFL.

GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
0.1avg goals recent
Season best1
Goals last 10avg 0.1 · hi 1 · lo 0
0100000000

Bailey J. Williams has a goals high of 1 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Jun 26 West Coast Eagles @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 11.5 Over -233 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Bailey J. Williams (West Coast Eagles) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Bailey J. Williams is Over 11.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.4% on this pick. Their next game is West Coast Eagles vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Saturday 13 June at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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