Alex Davies (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 14.5 Disposals (-200)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Alex Davies is poised to excel in disposals against the Brisbane Lions based on his recent form. With a strong model prediction of 17.8 disposals and a 7.6% edge, his consistent statistics in contested possessions, kicks, and handballs, averaging 17.2 disposals in his last five away games, make the Over 14.5 a compelling bet. Davies' impressive 63.2% disposal efficiency and a hit streak of 5/5 away games further support his potential to surpass the line. Facing an opponent where he has averaged 16.3 disposals in their last encounters, Davies is likely to continue his dominance in this matchup, making the Over a smart choice.