Kevin Gausman (TOR) Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-588)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Kevin Gausman has consistently performed above the strikeout line of 3.5 in recent games, with an average of 5.2 strikeouts overall and even higher at home (5.2) and against the Astros (8.5). His innings pitched averages also indicate he stays in the game long enough to achieve these numbers, with 6.2 innings overall, 6.4 at home, and 6 against the Astros. This is supported by his outs averages, which are all above the necessary 12 for 3.5 strikeouts. Furthermore, his current hit streaks of 3 overall and 2 at home suggest a strong performance pattern. Therefore, betting on Gausman to get over 3.5 strikeouts is statistically sound, considering his recent performances, durability in games, and the specific opponent.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) Over 0.5 Hits (-270)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. for Over 0.5 in the Batter Hits market is supported by his recent home game performance. Guerrero Jr.'s last five home game statistics show an average of 1.2 hits per game, indicating a strong likelihood of at least one hit in the upcoming game. Furthermore, his plate appearances (PA) average at home is 4.6, giving him ample opportunities to secure a hit. Despite a current hit streak of zero, his past performance against the Astros, with an average of 0.6 hits per game, also supports the potential for a hit in this game. Therefore, based on Guerrero Jr.'s home game and opposition-specific performance, this bet is a statistically sound choice.

Jose Altuve (HOU) Over 0.5 Hits (-208)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Jose Altuve for Over 0.5 in the Batter Hits market is a promising choice based on his recent performance data. Altuve's overall hit average in the last five games stands at 1, which is twice the bet line. This average increases to 1.2 when playing away, indicating a consistent performance irrespective of the game location. Furthermore, his hit average against the Blue Jays specifically is even higher at 1.6. This suggests that Altuve tends to perform well against this particular opponent. Additionally, Altuve is currently on a hit streak of 3 games overall and 2 games away, indicating that he is in good form. These statistics collectively suggest a high probability of Altuve achieving more than 0.5 hits in the upcoming game.

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