Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Trey Yesavage is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs.
On Pitcher - Earned Runs, our numbers say this bet wins about 81 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 81%, implied 56%, edge +25.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Under 6.50 SOlanded 6 of the last 6
Under 5.50 SOlanded 6 of the last 6
Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.
Model updated Aug 23, 10:27AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Earned Runs
Under 2.5
-125 (1.80) · $100→$180
+25.0% Edge
Toronto Blue Jays
@
Houston Astros
Minute Maid Park, Houston, Texas · Indoor
Wed 5 Aug, 6:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 877 of 1,754 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
Yesavage (knee) resumed throwing from flat ground Tuesday, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.
updated Aug 18, 9:50PM UTC · 4d old
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How often this wins
81 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 80.6% · the book's price implies 55.6% · gap +25.0%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Earned Runs | 80.6% | — | 55.6% | 1.24 | +25.0% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/0 |
| Last 5 games | 0/0 |
| Last 10 games | 0/0 |
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Trey Yesavage Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-125)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Houston Astros play Toronto Blue Jays in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Trey Yesavage Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-125). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at -125 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Hit-rate ladder: SO
Trey Yesavage has gone over 2.5 SO in 0% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.
o2.50%
o3.50%
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o5.50%
o6.50%
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o9.50%
o10.50%
Trey Yesavage is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Trey Yesavage is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +25.0% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Blue Jays vs Houston Astros on Wednesday 5 August at Minute Maid Park, Houston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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