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Model picks & player props
Philadelphia Union
VS
Chicago Fire

Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire Picks & Predictions · Wed 14 Oct

Our model graded 12 markets for Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire and backs Under 3.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $188.

Soccer
Thu 15 Oct 2026, 12:30AM
12
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 3.5 Total Goals -114

The model graded 12 markets for Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $188 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 15 Oct 2026, 12:30AM.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win51.7%
The price says51.3%
Best price-114
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Goals Under 3.5 Lean52% chance -114
Spread Members only High98% chance Members
Total Goals Members only Long-shot30% chance Members
Both Teams to Score Members only Long-shot32% chance Members
Draw No Bet Members only Lean45% chance Members
Head to Head (3-Way) Members only Long-shot35% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Long-shot35% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →
Philadelphia Union are the model's favourite to beat Chicago Fire, with a 62% chance to win. Kick-off Thu 15 Oct, 12:30AM. Best bet: Under 3.5 at -114.
How they've been scoring this season
Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire
Won-lost10-4-28-6-4
Goals scored per game2.61.8
Goals allowed per game1.61.6
On the road / at home4-3-1 away5-2-1 at home
Last 5 gamesWWWWWDDLLW
Their games average 3.8 total goals this season.
From the 16 Philadelphia Union and 18 Chicago Fire games on our books this season.
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How the price moved

When prices opened: Philadelphia Union about 4 in 10 to win.

Live prices for this match are not in yet.

All Soccer odds this week →

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Goals
Under
6.5
-2500
+ 11 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia UnionSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia UnionSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NoBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago FireDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago FireHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago FireMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Philadelphia Union

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Chicago Fire

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

1 market live
MoneylinePhiladelphia Union @ Chicago Fire+160

Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union moneyline; the model reads Chicago Fire's win chance at 38% for this fixture.

Philadelphia Union @ Chicago Fire — what the model found

Our model graded 12 betting markets for Philadelphia Union at Chicago Fire — 12 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

12
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 12 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 11 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire — recent results

Chicago Fire have won 0 of their last 0 games; Philadelphia Union have won 5 of their last 5.

Philadelphia Union — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W4–2ORLHome
W4–3SKCAway
W5–0SDAway
W5–0CINHome
W2–0MTLHome

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire in the Soccer. You may also see this matchup written as Union vs Fire, or as Fire vs Union. The next scheduled game is Thursday 15 October 2026. The model has generated 12 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Chicago Fire 1–0 across the last meeting

Last meeting: Sat 21 Mar 2026, Chicago Fire at Philadelphia Union: Chicago Fire won 2-1.

DateGameScoreWinner
21 Mar 2026Chicago Fire @ Philadelphia Union1–2Chicago Fire
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