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Model picks & player props
Tennis
Fri 9 Oct 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Tomas Machac
VS
Alexander Bublik

Tomas Machac vs Alexander Bublik Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 12 markets for Tomas Machac vs Alexander Bublik and backs Tomas Machac 2 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $205.

11
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Tomas Machac
with a 2-game head start
Tomas Machac 2 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$20.50Best price+105
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win44.5%
The price says46.8%

The model graded 12 markets for Tomas Machac vs Alexander Bublik (Tennis) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $205 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Fri 9 Oct 2026, 3:30 AM ET.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Tomas Machac 2 Lean44% chance +105
Spread Members only Lean48% chance Members
Total Games Members only Lean52% chance Members
Moneyline × 1 prop Long-shotup to 37% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Tennis game on today's board →

Tomas Machac and Alexander Bublik last met on Fri 9 Oct 2026. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every Tennis game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Tomas Machac
+2.5
-105
+ 10 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Tomas MachacSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tomas MachacSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tomas MachacSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tomas MachacSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Tomas Machac

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Alexander Bublik

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Tomas Machac vs Alexander Bublik: Tennis weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Tennis on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
Total GamesAlexander Bublik vs Tomas MachacNo line posted
60%model under %
1.78fair price
PickUnder 23.5Model60.1%Fair1.78Odds-141

Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac — Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Under 23.5 at -141, fair price 1.78; our model makes it 60.1% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Game HandicapAlexander Bublik vs Tomas MachacNo line posted
55%model cover %
2.02fair price
PickTomas Machac 2.5Model54.8%Fair2.02Odds-105

Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac — Game Handicap (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Tomas Machac 2.5 at -105, fair price 2.02; our model makes it 54.8% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Tomas Machac @ Alexander Bublik — what the model found

Our model graded 12 betting markets for Tomas Machac at Alexander Bublik — 11 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

11
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 12 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 11 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Tomas Machac vs Alexander Bublik in the Tennis. You may also see this matchup written as Machac vs Bublik, or as Bublik vs Machac. The most recent game between them was Friday 9 October 2026. The model has generated 11 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Tennis betting strategy for this matchup.

Tomas Machac vs Alexander Bublik: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 9 Oct 2026Alexander Bublik beat Tomas Machac 6-4 7-6 at Shanghai Masters
  • 20 Jun 2025Alexander Bublik beat Tomas Machac 7-6 6-3 at Halle Open
  • 26 Feb 2024Alexander Bublik beat Tomas Machac 2-6 6-3 7-6 at Dubai Tennis Championships

Tomas Machac: last 5 matches

  1. 26 Oct 2026Lostvs Alex de Minaur 1-6 6-4 6-3Erste Bank Open · 1st Round
  2. 22 Oct 2026Lostvs Karen Khachanov 6-2 4-6 7-6Almaty Open · 2nd Round · Hard
  3. 21 Oct 2026Wonvs Z. Nurlanuly 6-2 6-0Almaty Open · 1st Round · Hard
  4. 9 Oct 2026Lostvs Alexander Bublik 6-4 7-6Shanghai Masters · 2nd Round · Hard
  5. 7 Oct 2026Wonvs Zhizhen Zhang 1-6 7-6 6-2Shanghai Masters · 1st Round · Hard

Alexander Bublik: last 5 matches

  1. 24 Oct 2026Lostvs Daniil Medvedev 6-3 stopped earlyAlmaty Open · Semifinals · Hard
  2. 23 Oct 2026Wonvs Karen Khachanov 4-6 7-6 7-6Almaty Open · Quarterfinals · Hard
  3. 22 Oct 2026Wonvs Fabian Marozsan not playedAlmaty Open · 2nd Round · Hard
  4. 13 Oct 2026Lostvs Alexander Zverev 7-6 4-6 7-6Shanghai Masters · 4th Round · Hard
  5. 11 Oct 2026Wonvs Brandon Nakashima 6-7 6-3 7-6Shanghai Masters · 3rd Round · Hard

Quick answers

Who won the last Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac match? Alexander Bublik won their last meeting 6-4 7-6 at Shanghai Masters on 9 October 2026.

How have Tomas Machac and Alexander Bublik done lately? Tomas Machac won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 matches we hold. Alexander Bublik won 2 and lost 2 of the last 4 matches we hold.

Main-tour matches only. Qualifying and most smaller events are left out.

Head-to-head record

Completed matches · last 3 meetings
Alexander Bublik 3–0 across the last 3 meetings
DateWinnerScoreTournamentSurface
9 Oct 2026Alexander Bublik6-4 7-6Shanghai Masters · 2nd RoundHard
20 Jun 2025Alexander Bublik7-6 6-3Halle Open · QuarterfinalsGrass
26 Feb 2024Alexander Bublik2-6 6-3 7-6Dubai Tennis Championships · 1st RoundHard
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