On Wednesday 28 October 2026, Parma play Udinese in Serie A. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 5.5 Total Goals, priced at -5000 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Parma vs Udinese: Under 5.5 Total Goals (-5000)
Odds correct at time of publishing As we look ahead to the clash between Parma and Udinese, one trend stands out: both teams have struggled to find the back of the net recently. Parma has scored just 0.8 goals per game in their last five outings, averaging a dismal xG of zero. Meanwhile, Udinese has hit a similar roadblock, with only 0.8 goals per match on the road. Defensively, both sides have been more porous than they'd like, but their attacking woes make a high-scoring affair unlikely. In their last five meetings, the teams have rarely exceeded the total goals expected, with recent matchups showing an average of 1-2 goals scored. Given the context of their current form and the historical trend, betting on 'Under 5.5' feels like a no-brainer in this encounter. Expect a tight contest, likely finishing well under the line.
Parma vs Udinese: Over 4.5 Total Corners (-3333)
Odds correct at time of publishing As Parma prepares to host Udinese, the stage is set for a match that could see corners flying. Despite their struggles lately, Parma's home games have been surprisingly active, averaging over 13 shots and generating around 2 corners per match. Udinese, on the other hand, has been on a similar trajectory, notching up 10.4 shots per game away from home with an average of 1.2 corners. Both teams have been defensively vulnerable, allowing 2.2 and 2.0 goals respectively in their recent outings, which often leads to more corner opportunities as defenders scramble to clear. Plus, with a high level of fouls and tackles being committed-averaging over 20 combined per match-expect the referee to frequently stop play, leading to set pieces. Given these trends, betting on over 4.5 corners looks like a smart play as both teams fight for crucial points in the Serie A.
Parma vs Udinese: Udinese +2.5 Goal Handicap (-10000)
Odds correct at time of publishing As Parma prepares to face Udinese, the recent form paints a clear picture of their struggles. With just one win in their last five matches, Parma has been a shadow of their former selves, averaging a paltry 0.8 goals per game at home while conceding 1.2. Their xG numbers reflect a lack of attacking potency, sitting at zero, which is alarming considering their shot attempts. On the flip side, Udinese may not be tearing up the league, but their record against Parma is impressive, boasting three wins in the last five encounters. While they've struggled to score on the road, their average of 1.8 goals per away game hints at potential for improvement. Given Parma's defensive frailties and Udinese's ability to capitalize on them, backing Udinese at an alternate handicap of 2.5 looks promising in this Serie A clash.
That is how our model reads Parma v Udinese. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.