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Premier League predictions for Sunday, October 11: the model backs Hull

3 Premier League matches on Sunday. The model's strongest pick is Hull +0.25, a HIGH-confidence call.

By Javier Morales · Published Oct 10, 12:00 AM UK · Updated Oct 10, 4:03 PM UK

Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers

Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest

Sun Oct 11, 2:00 PM UK
Our pick: Palace 0 (they must win; if it ends level your stake comes back)-110

LEAN — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

As Crystal Palace prepares to face Nottingham Forest, the recent form paints a compelling picture for backing the home side at level stakes.

Full Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest preview →

Hull City vs Everton

Sun Oct 11, 2:00 PM UK
Top pick: Hull +0.25 (a split line: some results give back part of your stake)-105

HIGH — about a 7 in 10 chance by our numbers

As Hull City prepares to host Everton, recent performances suggest a favorable matchup for the Tigers.

Full Hull City vs Everton preview →

Liverpool vs Manchester City

Sun Oct 11, 4:30 PM UK
Our pick: Liverpool +0.25 (a split line: some results give back part of your stake)-125

LEAN — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

As Liverpool prepares to host Manchester City, the stakes couldn't be higher in this electrifying Premier League clash.

Full Liverpool vs Manchester City preview →
How we pick these games

Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.

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