Kevin Gausman (TOR) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-1667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Kevin Gausman to achieve over 2.5 strikeouts is statistically sound. Gausman's recent performance data supports this, with averages over the last five games showing that he consistently exceeds the 2.5 strikeouts line. His overall average is 5.2 strikeouts per game, and even when playing away, his average remains high at 5.4. This indicates that his performance is not significantly affected by the game location. His innings pitched and outs averages also suggest he spends enough time on the mound to achieve the required strikeouts. Furthermore, Gausman is on a hit streak, both overall and away, which demonstrates that he is currently in good form. Therefore, based on Gausman's recent averages and current form, the bet for him to achieve over 2.5 strikeouts is a strong choice.

Tommy Pham (PIT) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting under 0.5 on Tommy Pham for Batter Stolen Bases is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. The statistics show that Pham has not stolen a base in his last five overall games, his last five home games, or his last five games against this specific opponent, the Toronto Blue Jays. Additionally, there have been no instances of him being caught stealing in these contexts, indicating he's not even attempting to steal bases. Despite his impressive hit streak, this doesn't translate into stolen bases. Therefore, the data suggests that it's highly unlikely that Pham will steal a base in the upcoming game, making the under 0.5 bet a statistically sound choice.

George Springer (TOR) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on George Springer for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a strong choice considering his recent performance and historical data. Springer's last five games show an average of 0.4 stolen bases overall and 0.4 when playing away. This already falls below the line of 0.5. Moreover, when playing against the Pittsburgh Pirates, his stolen base average drops to zero, further supporting the under bet. Additionally, his current hit streak is only at one, both overall and away, indicating he's not in a particularly strong phase of performance. Lastly, the absence of caught stealing (Cs) instances doesn't significantly impact the bet, as the focus is on his low stolen base averages. Therefore, based on the data, the Under 0.5 bet for Springer's stolen bases is statistically justified.

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