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The latest Bet Better model pick for Tommy Pham is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases.
On Batter - Stolen Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 94 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 94%, implied 91%, edge +3.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 8 of the last 10
Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 8 of the last 10
Over 0.50 Hlanded 7 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Aug 31, 3:12AM UTC
MLB

Tommy Pham

PIT

+3.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Stolen Bases Under 0.5 -1000 (1.10) · $100→$110
+3.2% Edge
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Pittsburgh Pirates
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Thu 4 Sep, 10:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 935 of 1,976 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
94 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 94.1% · the book's price implies 90.9% · gap +3.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Stolen Bases94.1%—90.9%1.06+3.2%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games2/10

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AI Analysis

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Tommy Pham (PIT) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Tommy Pham for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is statistically sound. Pham's recent performance data shows no stolen bases in the last five games overall, at home, or against the Dodgers. This trend is consistent, with zero caught stealing instances in these same scenarios. Despite a commendable overall hit streak, his performance doesn't translate into successful base stealing. Even his home hit streak, which stands at three, hasn't resulted in any stolen bases. Hence, the bet is a good choice as it aligns with Pham's recent performance trends, suggesting a low probability of him stealing a base in the upcoming game against the Dodgers.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Tommy Pham is averaging 1.0 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

1.0
Hits
0.0
HR
0.0
RBI
0.4
Runs
0.0
Walks
0.8
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: H

Tommy Pham has gone over 0.5 H in 70% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.570%
o1.530%
o2.50%
o3.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Tommy Pham is averaging 1.0 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.8 in away games, including his recent form against CIN.

1.0
Hits · Overall
0.8
Hits · Away
0.6
Hits · vs CIN
0.0
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Away
0.0
HR · vs CIN
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Tommy Pham (PIT) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tommy Pham is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.2% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates on Thursday 4 September at PNC Park, Pittsburgh. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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